Derby Fever: Where 'stupid' is contagious

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

People keep pointing to Giacomo as an example of why people can, and should, run their tortoises against the hares. It seems to me that Giacomo had a lot more credibility heading into that Derby than the Atomic Rains of the world.

Giacomo at least had run four straight Beyers of 93 or better in his four starts coming into the Derby. An avg of 96 over those four races.

No horse in this years Kentucky Derby field comes in off of 4 straight Beyers in the 90's or better.

Even if people didn't believe his form was made up of one better than looked race after another - and didn't think he was likely to improve form because of pace, distance, and trainer - he still had to be respected some for his consistancy.