Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Stakes Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-07-2009, 01:45 AM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I've been saying both things here and on PA. I think he would need some real bad luck by a few horses to win, but I think he has a real shot to hit the board in the Derby.
I don't know man. I'd be shocked with an ITM run by WSB in the derby, unless of course, the faves keep dropping.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-07-2009, 10:37 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,391
Default

Here are the winning Beyer Speed Figure from last week's stakes races:

*Oaklawn (OP): It's a Bird (M. Wolfson/J. Leparoux) - 107

*Carter (Aqu): Kodiak Kowboy (J. Jones/J. Velazquez) - 104
*Wood Memorial (Aqu): I Want Revenge (J. Mullins/J. Talamo) - 103
*Potrero Grande (SA): Soul City Slew (J. Carava/M. Baze) - 102
*Skip Away (GP): Finallymadeit (J. Negrete/E. Nunez) - 101
*Fantasy (OP): Rachel Alexandra (H. Wiggins/C. Borel) - 101
*Apple Blossom (OP): Seventh Street (K. McLaughlin/R. Maragh) - 100

*Princess of Palms (TuP): Shesa Private I (B. Hone/J. Barton) - 99
*Bay Shore (Aqu): Capt. Candyman Can (I. Wilkes/J. Castellano) - 98
*Kinsman Turf Classic (Tam): Fearless Eagle (E. Plesa Jr./E. Trujillo) - 98
*Illinois Derby (Haw): Musket Man (D. Ryan/E. Coa) - 98
*Santana Mile (SA): Rail Trip (R. Ellis/J. Valdivia Jr.) - 98
*Primonetta (Lrl): Access Fee (L. Murray/L. Garcia), Cammy's Choice (E. Lehman/J. Pimental) - 96 (*dead-heat)
*Arcadia (SA): Dixie Chatter (R. Mandella/T. Baze) - 96
*Santa Anita Derby (SA): Pioneerof the Nile (B. Baffert/G. Gomez) - 96
*Providencia (SA): Acting Lady (D. O'Neill/V. Espinoza) - 95
*Excelsior (Aqu): Giant Moon (R. Schosberg/E. Prado) - 95
*Las Flores (SA): Sweet August Moon (B. Koriner/A. Gryder) - 94
*Hilton Garden Inn Sprint (Tam): On the Vineyard (L. Scace/W. Martinez) - 92
*Wildcat (TuP): Allegre (M. Chambers/J. Barton) - 91
*L and D Farm Turf Distaff (Tam): Quiet Meadow (C. Brown/E. Trujillo) - 91
*Ashland (Kee): Hooh Why (D. Dupuy/C. Lanerie) - 90

*Smart Coupons (Aqu): See More Spirit (J. Hertler/S. Morales) - 89
*Central Bank Transylvania (Kee): Stormalory (W. Mott/J. Leparoux) - 89
*Yerba Buena (GG): Restless Soul - GB (B. Cecil/C. Schvaneveldt) - 88
*OBS Sophomore (Tam): Bee Cee Cee (E. Plesa Jr./D. Centeno) - 87
*Dowd Mile (Fon): The Nutz (S. Hall/D. Leeds) - 86
*Dayton Andrews Dodge Sophomore Turf (Tam): Tamborim (W. Mott/D. Centeno) - 83
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-07-2009, 11:31 AM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
*Wood Memorial (Aqu): I Want Revenge (J. Mullins/J. Talamo) - 103
I originally was expecting that they might fudge the beyers upwards in this race, because I Want Revenge came in as a good horse, and didn't get to run to his final time potential because of the trip, and will be scored higher on the performance type of ratings.

You kind of had to score the beyer according to the place horse, and give IWR a couple pts higher than whatever the place horse should have got...

WSB = 101 ... It's debatable that they did [slide it up a few pts], but it certainly is not flagrant, if they did it's probably only 3 or 4 pts.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-07-2009, 04:07 PM
letswastemoney's Avatar
letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Turlock, CA
Posts: 2,561
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
I originally was expecting that they might fudge the beyers upwards in this race, because I Want Revenge came in as a good horse, and didn't get to run to his final time potential because of the trip, and will be scored higher on the performance type of ratings.

You kind of had to score the beyer according to the place horse, and give IWR a couple pts higher than whatever the place horse should have got...

WSB = 101 ... It's debatable that they did [slide it up a few pts], but it certainly is not flagrant, if they did it's probably only 3 or 4 pts.
Why would you have to slide it up depending on the place horse? It's based on the time, not the trip the horse has right?
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:15 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.