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Old 03-27-2009, 06:20 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
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I have the pace figure 11 points faster than the final figure for this race. Obviously very strongly paced race. 106 pace 95 final.

Great ride by Levya on the mega longshot 3rd place finisher to be very patient and relax his horse back in last place .. when everyone but the top two started to meltdown - he got some nice Gr 2 black type for a daughter of Gulch who has no abilty at all.

The final margin of victory for Justwhistlendixie was just 1 3/4 lengths - but on Thoro-Graph and Ragozin five pounds at five furlongs equals a length - so she gave 2.88 lengths away in weight .. and on Thoro-Graph and Ragozin one path of ground loss on each turn equals one length - Justwhistlindixie was two paths wider than Casonva Move on the first turn - and one path wider on the second turn. A total of 3 lengths in ground loss.

So.... 1.75 + 2.88 + 3.00 = 7.63 lengths. Both Thoro-Graph and Ragozin will have Justwhistlindixie running a figure more than 7.5 lengths faster than the 2nd place finisher due to weight and ground loss. Keep that in mind when you think about the final odds these two might go off at in the Ky Oaks.
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