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Originally Posted by NTamm1215
The nuances of trip handicapping can be easily missed. For example, and Andy may disagree, I think there is a horse in the feature today at Aqu who absolutely stands out based on his trip last time. It didn't have anything to do with him getting stopped or into trouble, but it had to do with race flow/dynamics.
That is where it is often quite safe to assume that a horse coming off a less than stellar trip will get a better one in his/her next start.
NT
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And as I said to Andy's post, if you are talking about chances relative to odds, I can understand where you are coming from and give it more credence. But what I don't understand is why it's safe to assume that a horse that had a bad trip will get a better one next time but bad to assume that one that had a good trip will get another one next time.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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03-26-2009, 09:54 AM
Hybrid Mode
