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  #1  
Old 03-17-2009, 03:56 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678
unc you are not adding in the vegas public $ 3 points - i think you are too low



Pitt- actually suprised by your choice this as i could never see vegas letting Pitt only give 4 to a Mid Major and 'vill give six to the runner up in the acc

but at least you give an opinion on here thx
Pitt's ASM is 17.5, Xavier's 12.5. Factoring in the neutral court and Pitt generally being a not-well-liked wagering team PLUS their poor history in the sweet 16 I think any more than -4 and the books would get loaded up by the sharps on the dog.

I've spent several tournaments in Vegas and one of the things I've noticed is the Sweet 16 lines are ALWAYS a lot tighter than you would expect. The dumb money has gone home after the 2nd round and the favorites end up being a bucket or two less than you would expect.
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  #2  
Old 03-17-2009, 04:10 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
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Location: Albany, NY
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Why would North Carolina possibly be considering playing Lawson against Radford?
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  #3  
Old 03-17-2009, 08:01 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
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http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/200...x.html?eref=T1
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  #4  
Old 03-17-2009, 09:16 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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chuck - you have blown my cover , i'm seth davis in disguise!
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  #5  
Old 03-17-2009, 09:40 PM
pgardn
 
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I dont know how important the seedings
really turn out to be unless you happen to
get to play early, possibly shaky rounds at
a familiar site (especially if you lost early in
the conf. tourney). I would think that a coach would
desire a good matchup as much as anything.

For instance: I think Texas has a horribly difficult
time against faster guard oriented teams that press.
Bigger teams, that are patient and relatively non aggressive
on D, is the type of team they want, the seed is not
as important. Playing a Big 10 team for Texas is a
good matchup(Minnesota possibly being almost a
hand picked opponent). But if they win, Duke will kill them.
UConn would be a much more desireable opponent even though
still not a good matchup.

But for teams that actually have a chance:

You have to know some of the coaches are very
cognisant of what type of team their personal and style
match up best against. Meeting what might be a less talented
(lower seeded team) team that plays a game that your
team has a difficult time with... ya might not like the draw.
Ya might wish to play a more talented team with a game
your team thrives against.
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