I am missing something with the Old Fashioned/Afleet Alex analogy.
I think an Old Fashioned/Rockport Harbor analogy would be more fitting.
Both won the Southwest and lost the Rebel. What's so hard to understand about that? Not making any predictions about the future, just saying it's too early to toss a talented horse that clearly wasn't pointed to that spot.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.