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#1
03-13-2009, 06:51 PM
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I think Linny is most likely correct--the bettor will probably get the favorite at the time the pool closes. But what happens if the favorite happens to be the other horse in the exacta? Go to next favorite? --Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson 
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#2
03-13-2009, 06:58 PM
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#3
03-13-2009, 08:13 PM
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Here's what happened:
Some simulcast outlet somewhere accepted exacta bets early, before the pools opened. Some of these bets were on Big Drama, and some were in $1 increments, which is not allowed because it is a $2 minimum bet. CD is trying to determine where the bets came from and get them out of the system.
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#5
03-13-2009, 10:17 PM
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I'd like to see $250k.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#6
03-13-2009, 10:26 PM
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My guess is $100,000-$120,000.
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#7
03-14-2009, 07:21 AM
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Also, CD has taken the exacta odds off the live odds page. --Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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#8
03-15-2009, 11:05 PM
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Why would anyone in their right mind trust a "system" like that? Accepting bets they can't honour??? Isn't that close to money-laundering?
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#9
03-16-2009, 07:39 AM
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__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#10
03-15-2009, 01:55 PM
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TheGreek has put its fixed odds futures back up. Again, there are just 23 entries, corresponding exactly to the horses in KDFW Pool 2. Here are the odds at TheGreek both before and after yesterday's preps:
Bears Rocket 45.5 80.5 Beethoven 35.5 25.5 Big Drama 0 0 Chocolate Candy 40.5 32.5 Desert Party 14.15 16.15 Dunkirk 13 10.15 Flying Pegasus 35.5 60.5 Friesan Fire 18.15 10.15 General Quarters 30.5 60.5 Giant Oak 25.5 52.5 Hello Broadway 25.5 40.5 I Want Revenge 12 8.25 Imperial Council 25.5 25.5 Old Fashioned 8.45 10.15 Papa Clem 40.5 40.5 Patena 25.5 40.5 Pioneer of the Nile 13.25 14.15 Quality Road 18.15 14.15 Silver City 60.5 85.5 Take the Points 60.5 80.5 The Pamplemousse 20.5 14.25 Theregoesjojo 30.5 30.5 West Side Bernie 40.5 30.5 Any Other Horse 4.85 3.45 The top horses that didn't run yesterday (Dunkirk, I Want Revenge, Pamplemousse, Quality Road) have all had their odds come down substantially. This odds set at TheGreek has a "takeout" of 15.7% compared to the 9.7% "takeout" of the earlier odds. The Pamplemousse is 14-1 at TheGreek, but just 8-1 currently in the KDFW. Dunkirk is 10-1 at TheGreek but just 6-1 now in the KDFW. Conversely, I Want Revenge is 8.25-1 at TheGreek but is now 10-1 in the KDFW. All Others is 3.45-1 at TheGreek, but is 6-1 in the KDFW. --Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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#11
03-15-2009, 04:24 PM
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Dabbled with a few exacta boxes....2-21 / 6-20 / 12-22 / 13-24 / 14-11/15
went with the 13 & 20 in the Derby futues and the 10 in the Oaks. What the heck!
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"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#14
03-15-2009, 05:45 PM
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FINAL POOL 2 ODDS
1 Bears Rocket Reade Baker 50 99 2 Beethoven John Ward, Jr. 30 23 3 Big Drama David Fawkes SCR 4 Chocolate Candy Jerry Hollendorfer 30 29 5 Desert Party Saeed bin Suroor 30 17 6 Dunkirk Todd Pletcher 12 7 7 Flying Pegasus Ralph Nicks 20 65 8 Friesan Fire J. Jones 12 8 9 General Quarters Mark Miller 30 80 10 Giant Oak Chris Block 20 42 11 Hello Broadway Barclay Tagg 30 69 12 I Want Revenge Jeff Mullins 10 10 13 Imperial Council Claude McGaughey III 20 20 14 Old Fashioned J. Jones 8 8 15 Papa Clem Gary Stute 15 65 16 Patena Richard Dutrow Jr. 15 71 17 Pioneerof the Nile Bob Baffert 10 12 18 Quality Road James Jerkens 12 14 19 Silver City W. Calhoun 30 99 20 Take the Points Todd Pletcher 30 77 21 The Pamplemousse Julio Canani 10 9 22 Theregoesjojo Kenneth McPeek 15 19 23 West Side Bernie Kelly Breen 30 43 24 All Other Three Ye 8 9/2
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#16
03-15-2009, 10:29 PM
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--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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