The 2008 Golden Rod

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Scav

Do you play it at 6/1 though?

The way I think about is that I think IEAH will go to the Derby with Stardom Bound, and if they do, RA is 7/5 on Oaks Day. If they don't go to the Derby, then RA is probably 5/1 on Oaks Day.

I just disagree that she'll be 5-1 or 6-1. These two are obviously head-and-shoulders above the rest of the fillies at this point, so unless another monster shows up on the scene, why wouldn't SB be 6-5 and RA 9-5?

In fact, if Stardom Bound keeps chucking up 84 Beyers, it wouldn't surprise me to see RA favored.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I just disagree that she'll be 5-1 or 6-1. These two are obviously head-and-shoulders above the rest of the fillies at this point, so unless another monster shows up on the scene, why wouldn't SB be 6-5 and RA 9-5?

In fact, if Stardom Bound keeps chucking up 84 Beyers, it wouldn't surprise me to see RA favored.

I see what you are saying, 10 horses field, two horses taking all the attention. So maybe the value will be the future pool then, because Stardom Bound will be favored in that, no doubt. I don't think enough people know about Rachel Alexandra yet, kinda sucks that she possibly running that weekend, if it was the weekend after, she would have extreme value.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I just disagree that she'll be 5-1 or 6-1. These two are obviously head-and-shoulders above the rest of the fillies at this point, so unless another monster shows up on the scene, why wouldn't SB be 6-5 and RA 9-5?

In fact, if Stardom Bound keeps chucking up 84 Beyers, it wouldn't surprise me to see RA favored.

Given the fact that she'll be running the weekend of the pool, and will probably win impressively, means you're right... 10-1 is a pipe dream and 5-1 might even be high.