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#2
02-04-2009, 08:29 PM
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its not a race where i see a standout and won't play, but if i have to name only one horse i'd say Miss Shangai is the closest one. she has the type of gas I look for in a turf sprint, I like that Elvis rides back with an equipment change. i'm thinking she leads after 4F, the only question is if she get used up too much from the outside.
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#4
02-04-2009, 10:25 PM
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Keep coming back to Stormy Lake. So, the race is useless to me.
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#6
02-04-2009, 09:09 PM
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I like Miss Shangai. Second off the layoff, equipment change for a high percentage trainer. Breaking from the outside I think she will get a clear path to the lead and go wire to wire.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#7
02-04-2009, 11:22 PM
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I'm going five-wide in the pick four: 1,5,8,9,12 with 1, 8 and 12 as the keys. If the race is won on the front end, it'll be by Kit Cat Katon. The others will have to come from off the pace. Gun to my head I'd take the 1 or the 12.
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#8
02-04-2009, 11:35 PM
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#9
02-04-2009, 11:52 PM
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#10
02-05-2009, 12:22 AM
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#11
02-05-2009, 09:19 AM
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Remember what we're trying to accomplish here... Not so much trying to find 'typical' race angles as much as trying to decipher what kind of horse, style, trip, etc. wins these turf sprints...
It looks like there is plenty of early lick in here... GIRL GLITTER is a 5f specialist that can be on pace in halves run <:45... KIT CAT CATON is one of the cutback candidates that Stan Gold looks to have been racing into shape, stretching out in anticipation of a return to one turn. Can get the half in :44 and change on best... Rebecca Maker's other horse REGAL BIRD, (she has BLOOD DIAMONDS in as well), and WW's MISS SHANGAI both get :45 half miles. Given these early pace types, it sure seems like STORMY LAKE will get the trip she wants tucking in behind Kit Cat and Glitter early. Blood Diamonds, who may have a tiny class edge if ready off the break, and MYMISSJULIAC also figure to be in draft and pounce mode. We'll dissect this afterwards too... Want to spend as much time figuring out what happened as we do anticipating the result.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
02-06-2009, 12:27 AM
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great call declans harbor
she sure prefers the short turf sprint! Are all Landson Robbins horses leaving McPeek? mcpeek won just about everything on turf this week other than the Robbins filly stormy lake 2 wednesday , the 3rd today
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#14
02-06-2009, 06:56 AM
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Hybrid Mode
