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Old 01-31-2009, 07:08 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
That horse(UTAHN) usually has a big middle move, and then is just o.k. in the stretch. Doesn't really have "any extra" (as the guy from Arlington would say.) You're right though(it isn't pretty to see him give up that easily.) That horse has a great move into the turn. He should use that to get the lead(probably wouldn't of held that way either, but there's no way he can win if he doesn't make the lead by the top of the stretch.)
This horse is NOT a hanger. He's just always asked too soon; and he isn't the gamest of horses. He needs to be ridden one of two ways:

1) DON'T MOVE HIM TOO SOON --- no reason to bid midturn (either last time or today)

2) if he's moved early BUST HIM and RIDE HIM hard to the wire

If he makes the lead prematurely and holds decently in a race that collapses badly going 6.5F (last out), it follows that he should win on the cutback to 6F. Unless, of course, idiots are involved in the equation and negate this advantage.

It doesn't matter; he's 9:1 and worth a bet.
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Old 01-31-2009, 07:21 PM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
This horse is NOT a hanger. He's just always asked too soon; and he isn't the gamest of horses. He needs to be ridden one of two ways:

1) DON'T MOVE HIM TOO SOON --- no reason to bid midturn (either last time or today)

2) if he's moved early BUST HIM and RIDE HIM hard to the wire

If he makes the lead prematurely and holds decently in a race that collapses badly going 6.5F (last out), it follows that he should win on the cutback to 6F. Unless, of course, idiots are involved in the equation and negate this advantage.

It doesn't matter; he's 9:1 and worth a bet.
He should do the second option. That horse really wants to go after about 2 furlongs. He has a huge burst into the turn. I don't think he wants to wait with that burst. I think he tried that today, and they'll go back to letting him run(into the turn) next start. He could of been right up alongside that 1 horse coming out of the turn. Don't know who would of won. He had a shot today. Don't you love it when they start experimenting without telling you?
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Old 01-31-2009, 07:28 PM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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I should of taken the $4.80 to show on Utahn. He comes to play every time. His lone out of the money finish was a 4th by 2 lengths. I hate to show bet, but that internal burst makes him a really good show horse. I thought about it last night. He was pretty tired late last time. I had a little question whether that might have emptied him totally, but he looked about the same today.
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