1/24 (GP/SA): Sunshine Millions

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by JJP

I think Finallymadeit will turn the tables on Delightful Kiss. There was a lot of speed in the Hal's Hope and there clearly is a lack of it in the Sunshine Millions Classic.

I agree completely that Finallymadeit seems like the best play in this race.
When the probable lone speed draws the rail going 9f at GP, and the probable favorite draws outside....I think it means a good opportunity. Finallmadeit might get wise-guyed down considerably from that 12/1 ML, but I think he is extremely playable at anything better than around 4/1. When he gets an easy early lead like he very well could here....he is tough at this distance.
Any doubts that his questionable performance last time might have been caused by something other than the hot early pace had to be assuaged, at least a little bit, by the ultra-sharp recent drill.
I love him in this spot, and I also think the #2 (Dream Maestro) could be a factor at even larger odds (20/1 ML).

[SCUDSBROTHER]

I can't believe how hard this lil horse (FINALLYMADEIT)tries. Anytime you see that many horses making moves from off the pace(like in the Hal's Hope,) the track is favoring them, or the front went too fast. That's actually a pretty impressive race from Finallymadeit. He was very brave(as in his previous 2 races.) If still clear on the 2nd turn, Finallymadeit is gunna be tough to get past. He doesn't have the prettiest action coming home, but if ya try that hard, it doesn't matter. That's not to say Delightful Kiss won't win. He puts in a huge move regardless of the pace. I'll use those 2 horses. If I can afford to use Martini and Macho, then I will. My guess is that FINALLYMADEIT isn't gunna get bet down. Who really wants to have money on this jock to win a million dollar race? Has he finally won a race at the meet? I'm not crazy about it. If he does so much as fart in the stretch, they'll waste no time in taking him down.

[JJP]

We had the right idea. Like expected, the pace was soft and did in Delightful Kiss......just didn't think Leparoux's horse would be the beneficiary.

[Bobby Fischer]

does $1,825 seem light for that super?
11-1 winner
Favorite runs 3rd
and a 47-1 shot runs 4th
250K pool

guess it is a product of the dime supers. Still would have had to wager easily $50+ to hit this dime with a caveman coverage wager. Example: singled Kiss 1st 2nd 3rd, went all in 4th and fairly deep in the other slots...


"i'm glad i didn't hit that super"

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by JJP

We had the right idea. Like expected, the pace was soft and did in Delightful Kiss......just didn't think Leparoux's horse would be the beneficiary.

When I saw the half in :48+ I thought I was in very good shape with Finallymadeit. But apparently he is just one of those horses that runs one way at Calder and another way at Gulfstream.

[Travis Stone]

Finallymadeit was coming off the O2X pattern sheet players often refer to. Going from a 106-100-91 is a fairly good representation of that pattern and, at least in my experience and from what I've read/asked, it takes time and a start or two for the horse to cycle back to their higher numbers.

[JJP]

I would argue that the lesser figure in the Hal's Hope was a product of his trip; there was a lot of speed in the Hal's Hope and one could make the case that the inside, where Finallymadeit did his running that day, was on the dead side. There clearly was significantly less early speed in the Sunshine Millions race.

[Bobby Fischer]

well, it was a good thought that the track configuration on the Gulfstream 9 furlong setup would favor Finallymadeit. He just isn't that classy, and when It's a Bird went and passed him before the final turn, that hurt Finallymadeit. Ideally you want the inside speed to carry that lead into the 2nd turn(obviously, if he's the speed you probably want him to carry it to the wire.) It was a good logical thought, it just didn't come through in this race.
The public also bet Finallymadeit down to below 6-1. That hurt those who were thinking about backing Finallymadeit. Public was smart on this day they sucked all the value out of that one. Familiar name Atoned figured to be a juicy underlay, and he was at 13-1, but not the 6-1 we wanted. In an overlysimplified way you could say the Atoned money backed the smarter choice of Finallymadeit.
Delightful Kiss ran another pretty good race. He did a lot of running in comparison to a horse like It's a Bird who ran well with a dream trip. Famous Patriot had a pretty tough type of trip being in the 11 post, and maybe he gets decent odds at a realistic try in the future. Hey Byrne and Neema's Pad as well although tough to say if they offer any upside.