Gulfstream Wednesday

[hurricanefrank]

Originally Posted by GPK

I just don't understand the playing against the outside post. Even after Sunday's races, the horses from post 8 and out are still winning 1 mile or 7 1/2 furlong turf races at around a 45% clip for the meet.

Fair pt but still too small a sampling to establish any meaningful trend. Not saying R&R can't win, but he'll likely have a wider journey and be forced to run more ground than rest of field; he'll have to be a couple of lengths better than these off the layoff to win IMO.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by hurricanefrank

Fair pt but still too small a sampling to establish any meaningful trend. Not saying R&R can't win, but he'll likely have a wider journey and be forced to run more ground than rest of field; he'll have to be a couple of lengths better than these off the layoff to win IMO.

To each his own, but there have been 20 turf races so far for the meet at those 2 distances and 9 winners from post 8 and out equates to a meaningful enough trend for me.

[hurricanefrank]

Originally Posted by GPK

To each his own, but there have been 20 turf races so far for the meet at those 2 distances and 9 winners from post 8 and out equates to a meaningful enough trend for me.

I can't quibble with sheer stats. IMO if R&R wins it'll be because he's simply better than the field and JR worked out a trip. There's no doubt in my mind that his job would be made alot easier if he were to have drawn better than post 11 in a mile race vs this caliber on the lawn at GP.

[declansharbor]

Anyone think I'm koo koo for singling Aster in the 7th? I think his speed can overcome the post, much like the lack of speed will help Delightful Kiss overcome the wide draw.