Gulfstream Analysis - Friday 01-16-09

[thunderdan09]

Originally Posted by GPK

Dan, be careful with what you are saying about the outside post. So far this meet there have been 15 turf races carded at 7 1/2 furlongs or 1 mile, both which start relatively close to the turn. Of those 15 races, 47% (7 winners) have come from post 8 and wider.

Post 8: 3 winners
Post 9: 1 winner
Post 10: 1 winner (2nd and 3rd place finishers were from the 12 and 15 hole)
Post 12: 2 winners

There have been 13 turf races at 1 1/16 and 38% (5 winners)have come from post 8 and wider

Post 8: 1 winner
Post 9: 1 winner
Post 11: 1 winner
Post 12: 1 winner (3rd place finisher from 14 hole)
Post 16: 1 winner (3rd place finisher from 15 hole)



Don't talk yourself off a horse just becuase the outside post. It's not near the disadvantage you think it is.

Thank you for the post position statistics.

I have a friend who keeps track of Gulfstream and told me to beware of outside the 8 on the turf, but as you have posted it isn't as significant as my buddy thinks.

[docicu3]

So what did you think of Roll the Di's late move Dan?? Pretty impressive huh...not much price but I wasn't the only one who remembered the summer and firm turf!!

[thunderdan09]

Very impressive move on the far turn. I wish I would have got to see the race replays before I left for the track.

I ended up not using in any of my pick 3's and paid the price for it.

Nice call.