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  #1  
Old 01-07-2009, 08:23 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Not only Centeno, I'd take the 13 and 14 too, over any of the rest.

I'm with ya on Dubai Rambler, haven't drilled down deep enough to find the allure of Danzel Brendemuehl's offering yet.


Velez is certainly no bargain so far
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  #2  
Old 01-07-2009, 08:26 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
I'm with ya on Dubai Rambler, haven't drilled down deep enough to find the allure of Danzel Brendemuehl's offering yet.


Velez is certainly no bargain so far

Sire 15% with firsters. 11% with turf runners. Dam has had two babies, both won at first asking. No turf there, but that is enough for me against this suspect bunch. I'd probably rather see him run on the dirt and not draw in here. I haven't given up on Velez yet. His record is just as bad as HVG, but he's not riding as bad.
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  #3  
Old 01-07-2009, 08:34 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Nice


I may go over for the P4 if I can get out of the office... We've got Too Much Zip going in the 7th at the Fairgrounds tomorrow so it would be nice to watch her and take in some live action too.
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  #4  
Old 01-07-2009, 08:42 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Nice


I may go over for the P4 if I can get out of the office... We've got Too Much Zip going in the 7th at the Fairgrounds tomorrow so it would be nice to watch her and take in some live action too.
I may be able to sneak over too.

Wow, is the 10th awful or what? Ripe for a couple firsters, but we can't be so lucky.

My first three legs are the same as gpk's, but I will use the 1,3,5 in the last.
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  #5  
Old 01-07-2009, 08:49 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I may be able to sneak over too.

Wow, is the 10th awful or what? Ripe for a couple firsters, but we can't be so lucky.

My first three legs are the same as gpk's, but I will use the 1,3,5 in the last.

I can see maybe using the 5 in the last, but the 1? really?
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  #6  
Old 01-08-2009, 04:47 AM
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Originally Posted by GPK
I can see maybe using the 5 in the last, but the 1? really?
Do I have to give my logic on a public forum? Because when it is bottom level maiden claimers, said logic is quite thin.
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  #7  
Old 01-08-2009, 07:31 AM
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Okay kgb, here it is, Bigs' MCL 8-7000 logic as warped as it is. From the bottom to the top:

11 - Fiore De - Doesn't seem to have the speed to get to the front and hasn't exactly been finishing with a flourish. Cronk/Homeister have had 4 previous tries at this level and haven't gotten it done. Probably won't get it done today either.
10 - Trial Ridge - 11 tries, the only time hitting the board was on an off track. 19 BSF is his top in those 11 tries. Next.
9 - Winblaiseandshow - Another that doesn't have the speed to get to the front and does not finish (esp. at 6f). No shot.
8 - Supposeo - Lost by double digit lengths each time out. Did flash some speed in the slop. Only 5 starts, so possible improvement there, but not today.
7 - Speculator - Beyers improving since layoff. Showed some speed in last and has a big shot here. Will be underlayed and HVG will f' it up.
6 - Marquizi - Why ship to TuP? This horse is really bad. 20 tries to no avail.
5 - Heza King - Unlike others in here, he's only had 1 bad race. It was his only race, but I'm willing to give Allen and Allen one more crack at it before giving up on this one. Look for a better break today and this one will be more involved. Maybe.
4 - Proficient One - Dropping down for this one, but there is a reason he has been going two turns....he's slow. Look for him to trail the field with a 1% jock aboard.
3 - No Show Bill - The obvious one for me. Draw a line through the two turn slop try and the race two back crushes these. Only 4 fast track tries is a positive.
2 - Sweetsoutherndance - Four ugly races here last year. Owen McQuade is no miracle worker so I'm not expecting a big improvement off the long layoff. Nope.
1 - Double Duke - IMO the speed of the race. The 1 post forces their hand to go in order to get any position and avoid traffic. Look for Cruz to gun to the lead and try to run them off their feet. Hopefully he can relax at some point and the class drop can carry him home.

The 3 could be a single, but I don't trust him that much. 1,3,5 for me.

Go ahead and have yourself a good laugh now.
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  #8  
Old 01-08-2009, 07:31 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Do I have to give my logic on a public forum? Because when it is bottom level maiden claimers, said logic is quite thin.

No...I see what you are seeing now.

I am very seriously considering revamping my ticket and playing against both Verily True and Heros Image in the 7th. Only reason I MAY still use VT is because Ronnie is up. Only thing is Hinsley probably couldn't have trained Ouija Board to win on the turf
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  #9  
Old 01-07-2009, 09:08 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I may be able to sneak over too.

Wow, is the 10th awful or what? Ripe for a couple firsters, but we can't be so lucky.

My first three legs are the same as gpk's, but I will use the 1,3,5 in the last.


Mdn 8-7 as bad as it gets here (Thank God for Thistledown).... Looks to me like HVG is sitting on the winner here - As much as I hate to do it, I'm including....
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  #10  
Old 01-07-2009, 08:31 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Pick 4 Pre-Scratches

2,6,7,9/2,5,7/2,4/3,11
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