Spa jockey/agent title race

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

What you're saying doesn't make any sense. You say that the mount difference will not be constant and you are correct about that. But neither will the win difference. As of right now, these two jocks have pretty much the same win percentage. If two guys have the same win percentage, that means they will have an equal number of winners if they have the same number of mounts. That is the reason we look at win percentage. If one guy has 60 wins from 300 mounts, and another guy has 40 wins from 200 mounts, what conclusion would you draw? I would conclude that they are both riding at a 20% clip and if they had an eual number of mounts they would have the same number of wins.

What is so confusing about that?

But they dont have the same win %. Do you not understand that? Good lord.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

But they dont have the same win %. Do you not understand that? Good lord.

Yes I undertsand that. Gomez's win percenatge is 1 point higher. That means that they would need to have 700 mounts a piece for Gomez to have a 7 win lead.

7 is 1% of 700.

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

Yes I undertsand that. Gomez's win percenatge is 1 point higher. That means that they would need to have 700 mounts a piece for Gomez to have a 7 win lead.

7 is 1% of 700.

LOL!!!! This is sixth grade stats!!!!

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by oracle80

LOL!!!! This is sixth grade stats!!!!

As I said before, I'm not sure what he is so confused about. If they both had 5000 mounts, then Gomez would have 50 more wins. But with only 200 mounts a piece, you would expect Gomez to be leading by 2.

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

As I said before, I'm not sure what he is so confused about. If they both had 5000 mounts, then Gomez would have 50 more wins. But with only 200 mounts a piece, you would expect Gomez to be leading by 2.

I get that. I am saying that Gomez would have 7.35 more wins. I dont understand why are you are so confused.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

I get that. I am saying that Gomez would have 7.35 more wins. I dont understand why are you are so confused.

That is incorrect. If Gomez had an equal number of mounts with Prado right now, he would be ahead by 2 wins. You can ask anyone on this board. This is simple math. You won't find one person out of 50 that would agree with your math. You're saying that 1+1 = 3.

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

That is incorrect. If Gomez had an equal number of mounts with Prado right now, he would be ahead by 2 wins. You can ask anyone on this board. This is simple math. You won't find one person out of 50 that would agree with your math. You're saying that 1+1 = 3.

What I am doing is projections.

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

That is incorrect. If Gomez had an equal number of mounts with Prado right now, he would be ahead by 2 wins. You can ask anyone on this board. This is simple math. You won't find one person out of 50 that would agree with your math. You're saying that 1+1 = 3.

I am not projection that Gomez maintains his 20% win based on his past week.

[Scav]

From a math perspective, the only thing you guys should be looking at is the percentage, all the rest is relative

I haven't followed the conversation, and don't have time to from everything I can see, Gomez is technically winning on more of his rides then Prado is winning on his rides.

Originally Posted by eurobounce

I get that. I am saying that Gomez would have 7.35 more wins. I dont understand why are you are so confused.

This is tiresome already,also I'm confused how in the hell can you get a .35 win? Enough of this already.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by Raysva

This is tiresome already,also I'm confused how in the hell can you get a .35 win? Enough of this already.

There is nothing to be confused about. Here are the updated stats. Prado has 35 wins from 174 mounts. That means he's ridng 20% winners. Gomez has 32 wins from 149 mounts. His win percentage is 21.4%. If Gomez had as many mounts as Prado, you would expect him to be ahead of Prado by 2.2 wins. It's simple math. All you have to do is a little multiplication.