12/27 (SA): Eddie Logan; La Brea (Gr. I)

[eajinabi]

Originally Posted by pick4

I hope this race stays on the grass.

There are two horses in here who pedigree wise could be big time grass runners. Congar Bay a colt out of Pico Teneriffe should relish running on turf.
Mark Casse is a good trainer who spots his horses well. I think he could get lost in the wagering and could offer big time value.

The other horse who might be a good one is Back At You. Stormy Atlantics love the grass. The dam is out of Royal Academy. This horse showed ability when he wired the field in his maiden breaking score. He should save ground and if he is not a rank speed demon and settles into trip he could be tough to deny.

I'm playing both of the horses in an exacta since I can't seperate them and would not be surprised if they run 1-2.

Interesting that Rosario jumps off of Back at you for Congar Bay.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Interesting that Rosario jumps off of Back at you for Congar Bay.

I noticed that but I don't know the what went down between the agents and trainers. Nonetheless both horses have capable jockeys. It comes down to the horses. If they are as good as I believe they are things will work themselves out.

I might put in a Kelly Leak ex box saver as he looks like a high quality horse.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Interesting that Rosario jumps off of Back at you for Congar Bay.

Conger Bay is out of a turf stakes mare in Pico Teneriffe who was a quality runner so it would not be a shock for me to see this horse move up.

I like this race because it the chalk looks pretty weak, I was going to play the following pick three starting in this race

346/4,10/236

I am interested to see how they bet the Eddie Logan. The top three choices all have some serious questions

Kelly Leak had a bad trip and poor setup in that grass sprint but with all that they had to be disappointed with the effort, I dont believe they think he is a turf horse just looking for soft spots, just cant like at 5/2. Back at You comes out of a mdn that I dont trust the figure, only the third place horse has run anything close to the number and it was a bad mdn that he won. The wild card is Oil Town. Saddler/Smith/ and Tommytown Tbreds had a real nice looking import last month, they also brought in black monmba so I think they are probably pretty savvy buyers.