12/26 (SA): Sir Beaufort (Gr. III); Malibu (Gr. I)

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

I will go with BBJ. He will be a much better sprinter than anything.

His last was super bad though and its not like it was a very good Underwood this year.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Georgie Boy -Prado...Fits him great. Mischief is nice, but hate the 1 hole. Mandella is tough off a long rest like he had. With the 2 months rest, I don't think he is quite as tough. He can win it, but I think Georgi will take him late. I do think they will get to Blackjack in the stretch. He hasn't won a graded race(cuz he has only won CAL bred n' CAL/FLO bred races.) I expect to see the old mother hen trainer in the winners circle, but we'll see what happens. Pretty cool race.

Mystification to win the last. That's a pretty nice trying horse (for a maiden claimer.)

[2Hot4TV]

I'm taking a big look at Col. John. I don't think that the speed will need some class to win this one.

[eajinabi]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

His last was super bad though and its not like it was a very good Underwood this year.

Saying that his last was SUPER BAD is a hyperbole. He only lost by a length and a half in that race. He is an absolute need the lead type as evident from his three wins. He likes SA (I know the surface has changed since) but he did set a record in the Sunshines Dash last year going 6F 1:06 and two fiths.
Plus he has done better damage second off layoff.

On Paper, he is the speed and others will sit right behind him. If he hooks with a duel or trio then Into Mischief wins for fun.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Saying that his last was SUPER BAD is a hyperbole. He only lost by a length and a half in that race. He is an absolute need the lead type as evident from his three wins. He likes SA (I know the surface has changed since) but he did set a record in the Sunshines Dash last year going 6F 1:06 and two fiths.
Plus he has done better damage second off layoff.

On Paper, he is the speed and others will sit right behind him. If he hooks with a duel or trio then Into Mischief wins for fun.

He could not even get the lead against Wirefortwenty when the pace was well below grade 1 level, that would never have happened this spring which to me says this horse is not right. He should get a clear lead but he does not have the ability to run these horses off their feet, especially if this track plays like October....and at 9/2 he is a horrible play.

[eajinabi]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

He could not even get the lead against Wirefortwenty when the pace was well below grade 1 level, that would never have happened this spring which to me says this horse is not right. He should get a clear lead but he does not have the ability to run these horses off their feet, especially if this track plays like October....and at 9/2 he is a horrible play.

Underwood: 21 4/5, 44 flat, 55 4/5, 1:07 4/5 is well below G1 pace?????
He just ran his first race after 6 months on the shelf and now second off he should run better. Guns on the Table will also run a huge race. His last race he held his own after a heated pace and hung in thier. If he settles second behind BBJ he can take it if BBJ decides not to run.

The Bet:

$50 WP on Guns on the Table

BBJ and GOTT included in Pick 3, Pick 4 bets.

[pick4]

Bob Black Jack looks like a horse that might have had a successful 3 year old season if the connections did not catch Derby Fever. They did the right thing by easing back off the horse and letting him recover from the Derby.

The Underwood was a prep and looking at the charts I see he made a move to get within a length of the lead. I think conditioning set in and he flattened out and held on well to finish with two of the winner.

The connections have been pointing to this race. The works since the Underwood look pretty good. He looks like lone speed. He should offer value on the toteboard.

Of course we'll have to see how the track is playing. I'm on the east coast and I've been looking at weather forecasts which had it raiining on Wednesday and calling for rain on Thursday. Nonetheless I'm expecting a decent race out of Black Jack Bob believe he will win the Malibu.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Underwood: 21 4/5, 44 flat, 55 4/5, 1:07 4/5 is well below G1 pace?????
He just ran his first race after 6 months on the shelf and now second off he should run better. Guns on the Table will also run a huge race. His last race he held his own after a heated pace and hung in thier. If he settles second behind BBJ he can take it if BBJ decides not to run.

The Bet:

$50 WP on Guns on the Table

BBJ and GOTT included in Pick 3, Pick 4 bets.

Your just quoting fractions like they mean something without any context, the track was lightening fast that day, the pace figure for that race was about 100, BBJ can get >110 when he is right.

I would much prefer Guns on the Table to BBJ in terms of chance/price.

Now hopefully BBJ turns into one of the great sprinters of all time, it will make it easier on Flores mentally for giving up the mount on Zenyatta to stick with BBJ back in April.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Been raining off n' on for the last 18 hours or so. It's raining right now. I am by Hollwood Park. Moderate rain here seems to turn into a lot of rain at Anita.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Underwood: 21 4/5, 44 flat, 55 4/5, 1:07 4/5 is well below G1 pace?????
He just ran his first race after 6 months on the shelf and now second off he should run better. Guns on the Table will also run a huge race. His last race he held his own after a heated pace and hung in thier. If he settles second behind BBJ he can take it if BBJ decides not to run.

The Bet:

$50 WP on Guns on the Table

BBJ and GOTT included in Pick 3, Pick 4 bets.

you were right, I was wrong....going to be expensive for me in the P4.

[eajinabi]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

you were right, I was wrong....going to be expensive for me in the P4.

I hit the pick 3 and I have 5 and 13 in the last for the pick 4.

You got the P4 going too?

[eajinabi]

Also a great ride (not neccesarily a nice looking win) by Gomez on Gio Pionti.
Had him settled early and instead of pulling wide, he slid through the middle to win it easily. Other jockeys should have had a V8

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

I hit the pick 3 and I have 5 and 13 in the last for the pick 4.

You got the P4 going too?

I would have been alive to three, I used the 1 and 7 last race.

good luck

[eajinabi]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

I hit the pick 3 and I have 5 and 13 in the last for the pick 4.

You got the P4 going too?

GOT IT!!!!!