I think this is a case where seeing the race has a decided advantage, Montalvo moved his horse much too early, had a decided edge with less than a furlong to go and was caught while looking very much like the winner. The running line will not indicate any subtle trouble, we can be sure of that. Saying that it's really hard to get excited about playing a 10K race where horses run so inconsistently. I would play him if he is 2.5:1 in his next but this is not going to be a horse I am going to be waiting with anticipation playing in a week or 2. There are so many questionable rides these days in races without the obvious trouble lines that making notes can pay off. You won't have to wait weeks.
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11-25-2008, 05:20 PM
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