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#1
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i can't believe i picked four winners in a row and didn't have a dime bet.....
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
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#2
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While noticing how that awesome 3-5 shot was moving, while running almost the identical time that High Finance ran earlier in the card ( actually it was .01 seconds slower ), did anyone bother to actually watch the race objectively?
Perhaps it would be worth watching the head on of the start. Mach Ride stumbled so badly that he literally almost fell down. That speed horse then dropped completely out of the race ( often happens when a horse stumbles that badly as he is completely shocked ). Then when rallying to even then what would have been a certain second place finish he was sawed off when trying to split horses and was forced to alter course and rerally inside. Even with all that he barely missed second. Would he have beaten the recently annointed " best sprinter in the country "? It's debatable....but let me put it this way.....I doubt Commentator is losing a lot of sleep tonight. Henny Hughes is a nice horse, may even turn out to be an exceptional horse, but try watching the ENTIRE race objectively and then try to objectively put the race into perspective with some other performances today. At least we saw one thing conclusively....Songster is a total bum. But, hey, we already knew that. |
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#3
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#4
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As far as Mach was going to beat Henny, only in dreamland he was. In reality Henny was making his 2nd start in about 10 months and came home a little slow after a blistering pace duel. |
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#5
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#6
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To answer your question as to whether he could have beaten Henny with a clean start, I don't see that as debatable, he would not have. Too much emphasis is often given in my opinion to the real effect of the bad start. |
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#7
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mach ride has an excuse..but i wouldn't call it objective analysis to point out that the lone speed was taken out of his game. sounds more like pointing out the obvious. as to whether he gets closer to the win if he gets a clean break, well that's pure speculation.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
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#8
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It's all speculation....isn't it? He was never " lone speed ", and his connections made it obvious they were rating him, something that could have been easily accomplished from his outside post. He wasn't " taken out of his game ", he was stunned by almost going down at the start, and took himself out of the race thereafter. Furthermore, as anyone that actually watched the race could have seen, he was completely stymied and squeezed out when attempting to rally between horses into the stretch, and was forced to severly alter course and rally inside of horses, something which is very difficult to do. The point is that somehow NONE of this was pointed out in this misguided lovefest which leads anyone who actually watched the entire race to believe that nobody involved is anything other than result oriented and oblivious to what is REALLY going on. Larger gaps than today's have been made up when the contestants actually get comparable trips. If you don't understand that then you are doomed to a lifetime of poor wagering choices. Better for me. |