Tips/Thoughts on Breeders' Cup tickets this year?

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Wait a While isn't exactly my favorite horse. But she moved early last out and she got that patented wide, no cover, premature move today, that JV has popularized.

Moreover, I think that race dynamics (moves) are superordinate to (numerical) pace. There are just too many cases (like today) where horses setting or with a slow pace aren't around at the end.

I agree on both counts. I've pretty publically never been Johnny's biggest fan.

On the second part, I agree that paces in turf races are overrated, and that courses play a bigger role in dynamics than most realize, but overall I would say the biggest reasons these horses failed on the slow paces is that they were badly overmatched. Now, Wait a While wasn't BADLY overmatched....but she was still, at least, slightly overmatched. In order to have won today, things would have had to have gone very right for her....and very wrong for Forever Together. Instead, things went moderately for her ( some good....some bad ), and pretty mediocrely for the winner.