This is a tough one, but they certainly aren't going to be going :44&3 through the opening half like they have in Visionaire's last two starts. Even for a definitive closer, he has been extraordinarily predictable this year in terms of pace. In races where they set relatively fast fractions early (:46&1 or faster) he is 4-for-4 at distances ranging from 6.5 to 8.5 furlongs. In races where they have gone slower than that up front, he is 0-for-4 (although to be fair, one of those races was at 10f).
These guys should be strolling along slowly early. I think he is a total bet against.
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10-03-2008, 06:19 PM
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