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[The Indomitable DrugS]

Obama's lead in the exchange market betting has vanishing ever since it was annouced that Palin's 17yo daughter was pregnant.

He's gone from a 2.1-to-1 underdog to a current 1.11-to-1 underdog. Basically PGardn was right about her selection tightening the race.

McCain was a 1.45-to-1 dog the morning his selection of Palin was announced.

He was up to 2.1-to-1 in two days - however - it seems very appearent that one or a few big bettors knew that she had a pregnant 17yo daughter before it was ever reported in the press - and they seriously miscalculated by thinking that would have a negative impact on McCain's chances.

If you look at the way the market moved - you'd think she was an awful inital choice - but when revealed that her 17yo was pregnant - she became a brilliant choice.

However - that's not realistic imo. Crazy stuff anyhow. A little inside info backfiring.