9/12: BEL C/O ($608k Friday!!)

[blackthroatedwind]

I figure if you play the Pick-6 you should give yourself as good a shot as possible to hit it.

[philcski]

first glance... tough sequence. could see a two day carry.

[blackthroatedwind]

I agree Phil. If they stay on the turf, and we didn't get much rain, it's a very tough, but interesting, card.

[the_fat_man]

Assuming they go:

Dr. Decter has to be a BET AGAINST.

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Assuming they go:

Dr. Decter has to be a BET AGAINST.

2nd start, finished ITM in only start, on the grass from 4W,for an excellent trainer, with a solid published work at 4F in 47 and change, with one of the more productive jocks who rode last time when the horse clearly was bumped at the start of the only other start........yes please throw this one out of all plays. And thank you for contributing to the pools...

Please tell us all why this one is a definite toss and then while your upgrading NYRA's technical equipment for processing races maybe you can give the form a call and fix their problem with cappin' races since Dr Decter is the first selection on the Quick Sheet with the 2nd fastest Beyer and fastest TGH number in a turf sprint. Please do your best to convince others that this one clearly had a superior trip last time and will likely explode in a fractured mess if allowed to run tomorrow.

You are more fun than PG1985........how do you come up with this nonsense?

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by docicu3

You are more fun than PG1985........how do you come up with this nonsense?

This may be the single stupidest comment I have ever seen on this board. The guy started a thread the other day about a horse at Laurel that paid $10 and consistently adds intelligent analysis to this board.

He's also right that considering the likely odds on this horse that he's a good bet against.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

10 bucks sweet

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

This may be the single stupidest comment I have ever seen on this board. The guy started a thread the other day about a horse at Laurel that paid $10 and consistently adds intelligent analysis to this board.

He's also right that considering the likely odds on this horse that he's a good bet against.

Andy please.....just once let the guy make his own argument. For multi race wagering, which this thread is about,tossing that horse is just stupid for the reasons listed. You want to marry the guy be my guest. It's legal now in most states but the number of times you rush in as "the expert" to defend this guy is ridiculous. We get it. Your in love with the Fatman and his opinions but when you start making statements like Rice's entry in the 6th is not even the 7th most likely winner of the 6th tomorrow, with the turf sprint success she has had, it is easy to see why you had the kind of losing Saratoga meet you had. You look great on camera but weren't very good at the windows this summer now were you. You want to tell people to toss "A" selections in multi's be my guest.

Since when does a 4-1 shot at Laurel get you so excited. I give out a 15-1 ML that ends up 9-2 and your all pouty about payoff. Your main squeeze gives out Scott Lake in Maryland and you want to treat it like a BC P6.....Please.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Assuming they go:

Dr. Decter has to be a BET AGAINST.

Not sure why you have such a strong opinion against this one in a pick 6 sequence. Stumbled at the start, then rushed up to chase after about the slowest first quarter ever at this distance, then hung a bit but that's forgivable in his first start and the rush-up. I don't think much of the winner of that race but honestly it was a good effort first out, all things considered. If he's not the most likely winner of this race I'd like to know who you think is. I certainly am not betting him to win at 9/5 but to leave him off a large pick 6 ticket seems silly.

[philcski]

By the way, based on the ML's I think the Levine entry is a HUGE bet against. Not a chance the 1 gets away with another ridiculously slow first quarter like he did at Saratoga.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by philcski

By the way, based on the ML's I think the Levine entry is a HUGE bet against. Not a chance the 1 gets away with another ridiculously slow first quarter like he did at Saratoga.

I thought it was pretty funny that the chart said 'lively pace'..

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by philcski

Not sure why you have such a strong opinion against this one in a pick 6 sequence. Stumbled at the start, then rushed up to chase after about the slowest first quarter ever at this distance, then hung a bit but that's forgivable in his first start and the rush-up. I don't think much of the winner of that race but honestly it was a good effort first out, all things considered. If he's not the most likely winner of this race I'd like to know who you think is. I certainly am not betting him to win at 9/5 but to leave him off a large pick 6 ticket seems silly.

Is it really? They crawled home.

I have to see the scratches, as Fra Lippo getting in will play a huge role in how the race is run.

Otherwise, two I think have a decent shot are:

City Sneakers: terrible footwork last out; assuming Rice can straighten him out, he should get a similar trip to DD (I typically don't like the outside, especially with the pace types, in these sprints)

Tee With the Tiger: no shot in race that didn't come back last out AND Samyn took his time getting him around/outside in the stretch; a multi-move race and the extra distance could get this hanger home.

But, this is very tough race.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Is it really? They crawled home.

I have to see the scratches, as Fra Lippo getting in will play a huge role in how the race is run.

Otherwise, two I think have a decent shot are:

City Sneakers: terrible footwork last out; assuming Rice can straighten him out, he should get a similar trip to DD (I typically don't like the outside, especially with the pace types, in these sprints)

Tee With the Tiger: no shot in race that didn't come back last out AND Samyn took his time getting him around/outside in the stretch; a multi-move race and the extra distance could get this hanger home.

But, this is very tough race.

Agree on Fra Lippo... tough read on whether this one is an uncontrollable runoff or cutting back to the sprint gets him to run like his first start, which wasn't a bad debut.

The entry, no way it goes off at 8-1 but I think it's a must-cover. Check the works on the 2 on turf.

Tee With the Tiger? Seriously?? I can't STAND these career maidens. His career best race, two back, was an absolute suck up against a horrible group. Pano's Love was an 0-18 maiden who was 3-1 for Sciacca.

I'm probably being too cheap here but I'd be happy standing with the 2,11 and possibly the 10,12.

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by philcski

Not sure why you have such a strong opinion against this one in a pick 6 sequence. Stumbled at the start, then rushed up to chase after about the slowest first quarter ever at this distance, then hung a bit but that's forgivable in his first start and the rush-up. I don't think much of the winner of that race but honestly it was a good effort first out, all things considered. If he's not the most likely winner of this race I'd like to know who you think is. I certainly am not betting him to win at 9/5 but to leave him off a large pick 6 ticket seems silly.

Thank You....the Dr. may not win but if he does he is extremely logical especially as a second time starter with a work like that between starts he should move forward. If they are OTT then Serpe's #14 Pegasian would seem to have his way with these assuming enough scratches to draw in and hopefully not suffer too badly from the outside hole.

Turf : #11 Dr D or #10 Bullstar #2B It'sgoodtobeking #7 Grantor
Dirt : #14 Pegasian

[docicu3]

Early Ticket......like 4 AM early

Race 4 3,5,7 (May catch a price here on the [B]3 Valid Threat[/b] who ran MSW last time albeit at FL, gets the benefit of 9 lb weight advantage from the last race and a posted bullet 1/42 for 4 panels at 47 secs. and change in this bottom level maiden claimer which is tough as any in the 6 race sequence.

Race 5 If OTT then #3 Cardinal Hill is a single for me. If remains on the grass I think it's not as clear cut as the only grass race CH has run so far was not as solid a performance as his other races. Thus the #10 Dos Hombres with Espinosa is very competitive as are the #2 Tobruk and #12 Sammy's Toy.

#13 Theartofcompromise MTO would be a play if CH scratched and they were off

Race 6 See pleasant discussion above on the big ticket the #[b]11 DrD [/B]and #10 Bullstar are a play for me with 14 a single MTO. 2,3,7 probably are on my late P4's

Race 7 Although Godolphin #7 Rallying Cry apparently will be a heavy favorite I will play #9 Private Scandal and #10 Hollywood Left as very strong contenders here. The Clement entry is a must play.

Race 8 7 Valiant Humor 10 At Atn, 11 Tomlinson Hill, 3 Catch up Chris

Race 9 4,5,10,15

Last two after I finish rounding this AM......GL all!!

Ticket 3,7/2,3,10,12/10,11/1,3,4,6, 7/ 7,10,11/4,5,10,15 which I think is $1920...GL everyone