"In The Spotlight" with Dr. SwineSmeller

[Dr.SwineSmeller]

[quote=ArlJim78]she will always be a $400K purchase no matter how many times she races or how poorly. it has no relation to her current form relative to the rest of the field today. this $400K baby took nine tries to break her maiden and had to ship out to Fairplex to get it done.

So far Jim, I've made my decision to make a play 3 of 9 times because of purchase price. And it is obvious when I am doing so.
Those three horses have went 1-0-1, for -.80 cents on three $2 win bets. I'll recap the purchase price play totals when I resign from the thread in 26 more days. Then will come final judgement.

[ArlJim78]

[quote=Dr.SwineSmeller]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

she will always be a $400K purchase no matter how many times she races or how poorly. it has no relation to her current form relative to the rest of the field today. this $400K baby took nine tries to break her maiden and had to ship out to Fairplex to get it done.

So far Jim, I've made my decision to make a play 3 of 9 times because of purchase price. And it is obvious when I am doing so.
Those three horses have went 1-0-1, for -.80 cents on three $2 win bets. I'll recap the purchase price play totals when I resign from the thread in 26 more days. Then will come final judgement.

the final judgement is already in, its a dumb idea to ignore on-track performace in favor of the sales price comparison.

[Dr.SwineSmeller]

[quote=ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by Dr.SwineSmeller

the final judgement is already in, its a dumb idea to ignore on-track performace in favor of the sales price comparison.

Time will write the book Jim.

Best of luck at the windows.

[Dr.SwineSmeller]

8/12/08 Coast To Coast with Dr. SwineSmeller
Deleware Park Race 5, post 2:33 Eastern time.

Jungle Cat is going to have to show me he can't race for me to believe it. Garnering no respect in his first out at 12/1 on the morning line doesn't deter my cat curiousity. I'm gambling on pedigree here. With calculator in hand, I have to begin to work my bank at this point to catch a value bet to get back in the game. Jungle Cat fits the value bill. Jungle Cat's two grandsires are Seattle Slew and Storm Cat. His sire, Forrest Cat, stands stud for a $35,000 fee at Brookdale Farm in Kentucky. But here is #6 Jungle Cat opening at a $25,000 claiming tag. It just doesn't fit.

Jockey J A Bracho gets only this one mount today. He's got one shot to put dinner on the table and his baby needs new shoes.

If Jungle Cat will get up for me today at 12/1, I'll be doing the jungle boogie with a plus side bankroll tonight. I'll play Jungle Cat for $26 WIN. Go Baby Go!!

Dr. SwineSmeller

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by Dr.SwineSmeller

Jungle Cat fits the value bill. Jungle Cat's two grandsires are Seattle Slew and Storm Cat. His sire, Forrest Cat, stands stud for a $35,000 fee at Brookdale Farm in Kentucky. But here is #6 Jungle Cat opening at a $25,000 claiming tag. It just doesn't fit.

Isn't this considered a negative sign? Are you not making the case against the horse you're playing to win?

Also how can you make a value play based on the morning line odds of a first time starter the day before the race?

[Dr.SwineSmeller]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

Isn't this considered a negative sign? YES. Are you not making the case against the horse you're playing to win? YES

Also how can you make a value play based on the morning line odds of a first time starter the day before the race? Still thinking.

Where I come from people spell "from", F R Zero M Jim, You'll have to give me a day or two on that one.

[Dr.SwineSmeller]

8/13/08 Racing Coast to Coast with Dr. SwineSmeller
Arlington Park, Race 8, post 4:45 Central Time

News Bulletin:
At the Kennedy Space Center, scientists believe they have perfected a secret missle project codenamed Nasa Slew. NASA is reporting that daredevil rocketeer Jessie Campbell has bravely volunteered to duct tape himself to the newly refined missle, and he will attempt to be launched into outer space from a pad in Arlington Heights, Illinois. Should the #5 Nasa Slew missle indeed obtain orbit, it will be a first, as in four earlier test fires, only once has the missle actually fired. The other three times it just blew up on the pad. Odds makers are giving 8/1 that the Nasa Slew missle just blows up again. A prayer service for Jesse has been scheduled to coincide with today's launch.

I have $40 that says the Nasa Slew project Wins today. Go Baby Go!!

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Dr.SwineSmeller

8/12/08 Coast To Coast with Dr. SwineSmeller
Deleware Park Race 5, post 2:33 Eastern time.

Jungle Cat is going to have to show me he can't race for me to believe it. Garnering no respect in his first out at 12/1 on the morning line doesn't deter my cat curiousity. I'm gambling on pedigree here. With calculator in hand, I have to begin to work my bank at this point to catch a value bet to get back in the game. Jungle Cat fits the value bill. Jungle Cat's two grandsires are Seattle Slew and Storm Cat. His sire, Forrest Cat, stands stud for a $35,000 fee at Brookdale Farm in Kentucky. But here is #6 Jungle Cat opening at a $25,000 claiming tag. It just doesn't fit.

Jockey J A Bracho gets only this one mount today. He's got one shot to put dinner on the table and his baby needs new shoes.

If Jungle Cat will get up for me today at 12/1, I'll be doing the jungle boogie with a plus side bankroll tonight. I'll play Jungle Cat for $26 WIN. Go Baby Go!!

Dr. SwineSmeller

Elusive Quality stands for 100K. please help us follow your logic, for it is fascinating....Also it must be comforting to know that the connections and agents have so much confidence in him that the best he can draw is a morning exercise rider with 27 starts at the meet....

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Elusive Quality stands for 100K. please help us follow your logic, for it is fascinating....Also it must be comforting to know that the connections and agents have so much confidence in him that the best he can draw is a morning exercise rider with 27 starts at the meet....

OOOOOOO!!!!!

[MISTERGEE]

Originally Posted by Dr.SwineSmeller

8/12/08 Coast To Coast with Dr. SwineSmeller
Deleware Park Race 5, post 2:33 Eastern time.

Jungle Cat is going to have to show me he can't race for me to believe it. Garnering no respect in his first out at 12/1 on the morning line doesn't deter my cat curiousity. I'm gambling on pedigree here. With calculator in hand, I have to begin to work my bank at this point to catch a value bet to get back in the game. Jungle Cat fits the value bill. Jungle Cat's two grandsires are Seattle Slew and Storm Cat. His sire, Forrest Cat, stands stud for a $35,000 fee at Brookdale Farm in Kentucky. But here is #6 Jungle Cat opening at a $25,000 claiming tag. It just doesn't fit.

Jockey J A Bracho gets only this one mount today. He's got one shot to put dinner on the table and his baby needs new shoes.

If Jungle Cat will get up for me today at 12/1, I'll be doing the jungle boogie with a plus side bankroll tonight. I'll play Jungle Cat for $26 WIN. Go Baby Go!!

Dr. SwineSmeller

got the price of 35-1 but unfortunately ran next to last

[geeker2]

Originally Posted by MISTERGEE

got the price of 35-1 but unfortunately ran next to last

"It's like a nightmare, isn't it? It just keeps getting worse and worse, doesn't it?"

[TheSpyder]

[quote=Dr.SwineSmeller]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

I'll recap the purchase price play totals when I resign from the thread in 26 more days. Then will come final judgement.