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Old 08-03-2008, 06:07 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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The suggestion from Jerry Brown was that Indian Blessing was worth playing against given the huge prior effort, the outside post and her conceeding weight. He used the two fillies as examples of spots where scores are made LONG TERM betting against..

He was amazed at how terrificly Indian Blessing ran, no matter who she was running against, and expects that she paired up her (neg) -4. And note how she came down he lane like an arrow...
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Old 08-03-2008, 08:06 AM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
The suggestion from Jerry Brown was that Indian Blessing was worth playing against given the huge prior effort, the outside post and her conceeding weight. He used the two fillies as examples of spots where scores are made LONG TERM betting against..

He was amazed at how terrificly Indian Blessing ran, no matter who she was running against, and expects that she paired up her (neg) -4. And note how she came down he lane like an arrow...
Wasn't her effort two back enough of a jump to cause a bounce (if there was such a thing) - then what happened? Outside post in a six horse field? An extra six pounds max?
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Old 08-03-2008, 08:34 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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He said the same thing about Solar Flare in the Whitney last week (for similar reasons, probable bounce candidate off of two strong previous efforts) and was spot on - take it for what it is
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Old 08-03-2008, 08:49 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
He said the same thing about Solar Flare in the Whitney last week (for similar reasons, probable bounce candidate off of two strong previous efforts) and was spot on - take it for what it is
Yeah but I also totally dismissed Solar Flare's chances in that race too and that was without having any figures to lead me in that direction. I did it soley on the premise that the horse wasn't close to good enough to win.
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Old 08-03-2008, 09:28 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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so now, 21 posts (counting mine) in a thread in which the start of the thread is essentially incorrect?
with zenyatta, she's always going to be the class of a field going in. ginger punch managed a third to her, so i don't think anyone is going to argue that zenyatta far and away heads the distaff division. but we all know the record of unbeatens, so it's safe to say that eventually this horse will lose. trick is finding when.

but again, if there was no strong stand at the seminar, the rest of this thread is moot.
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Old 08-03-2008, 09:37 AM
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asudevil asudevil is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
so now, 21 posts (counting mine) in a thread in which the start of the thread is essentially incorrect?
with zenyatta, she's always going to be the class of a field going in. ginger punch managed a third to her, so i don't think anyone is going to argue that zenyatta far and away heads the distaff division. but we all know the record of unbeatens, so it's safe to say that eventually this horse will lose. trick is finding when.

but again, if there was no strong stand at the seminar, the rest of this thread is moot.
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