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  #1  
Old 08-01-2008, 09:15 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Thoro-Graph says Reynolds is 2-for-44 with horses who made their last start within ten days.

Good call on him the first time. I don't like him in here, but I didn't like him last Friday either, so I could be wrong again.
Over the last three years at Saratoga, he has 15% winners first start of the meet and 6% winners second start of the meet....

0 for 6 with horses that won their last start.
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Old 08-01-2008, 09:46 AM
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Trainer statistics such as these can be spun a lot of ways. He's also 8-14 for a $3.83 ROI with claiming repeaters according to BRIS (I believe that's from the start of 2007.) I think they're all irrelevant in this situation and I should have omitted my opinion of him on short rest.

Just my opinion, but trainer statistics that matter to me: record with firsters/second timers, layoff types, equipment changes, and stretchouts/cutbacks. otherwise I think you end up clouding your judgement of the actual HORSE who is doing the running.
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  #3  
Old 08-01-2008, 09:54 AM
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Statistics aside, there isn't much to beat in this race, so the horse does have a huge shot at a short price (I don't see the odds being anywhere near the 4-1 M/L for this one).
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Old 08-01-2008, 10:17 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Statistics aside, there isn't much to beat in this race, so the horse does have a huge shot at a short price (I don't see the odds being anywhere near the 4-1 M/L for this one).
I'm guessing 3/1. Holla Bend, All Expenses Paid, and Secret Stocks should all take some money.
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  #5  
Old 08-01-2008, 10:45 AM
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7 gold shamrock is going to make it tough...i dont really like em here 'clemons'
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  #6  
Old 08-01-2008, 10:58 AM
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Default #7 Gold Shamrock

Scratched
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  #7  
Old 08-01-2008, 11:14 AM
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Thanks..
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  #8  
Old 08-01-2008, 04:40 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
I'm guessing 3/1. Holla Bend, All Expenses Paid, and Secret Stocks should all take some money.
Dang.. second
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