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Old 07-31-2008, 09:14 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
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Let's check the splits:

22.35 22.89 11.20 5.79

If we add the last 1/8th and 1/16th, divide by 3 and then multiply by 4

we get a projected last qtr of 22.65

if we double the last 1/6th then add it to the 1/8th we get a projected last quarter of 22.78

either way they're ACCELERATING
as such, nothing gained in the stretch

this is an example of a horse having a pace advantage and taking advantage of it to control the race. I thought he'd stalk the 1st qtr but he just had too much for them.
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