Saratoga Baby Race Analysis

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Prince Teton is not Teton Forest's first starter, but his fourth. Smokey Lonesome is a two-time starter for him and is already a winner.

Pedigreequery (not the most accurate site in the world) - only has a race record for Smokey Lonesome.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Pedigreequery (not the most accurate site in the world) - only has a race record for Smokey Lonesome.

Smokey Lonesome ran twice at Hollywood, finishing fourth then first.

Oceanage ran once at Churchill. The Thoroughbred Times Interactive Stallion Directory is very good in this respect.

NT

[parsixfarms]

Brave Victory was a pretty expensive yearling at $200K, and a very expensive buy-back at $490K by Lapenta this spring. Showed speed in early bullet 3F work and ordinary work tab since is reminiscent of that shown by War Pass. I also expect him to come out running.

The horse to beat looks like Cognito, although for the Keeneland 2YO sale-topper, he was slightly chilly in small-field debut in which he didn't show much early lick, also breaking from rail. Tough post but half to Cool Coal Man figures to improve with the experience.

Prince Teton was the most expensive yearling ($130K) from his sire last year, and McKathans made a modest profit with him as a $200K pinhook. Good works for Romans with nice post draw. Given connections, I would not be surprised if money showed.

The big question mark is what to make of Zensational. At $20K, this was the least expensive of 63 Unbridled's Songs to go through the ring last year, and then somehow turns into a $700K 2YO. Modest Oklahoma works for connections that ruled baby racing here last summer.

[gales0678]

Prince Teton will only offer valie in picks / dd , he will most likely be overbet to win

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

The big question mark is what to make of Zensational. At $20K, this was the least expensive of 63 Unbridled's Songs to go through the ring last year, and then somehow turns into a $700K 2YO. Modest Oklahoma works for connections that ruled baby racing here last summer.

I actually like the other entry better.

[parsixfarms]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

I actually like the other entry better.

I agree that, if they scratch Zensational, then Pious David is probably an inclusion (although I have not been impressed with the Aldebarans and this horse looks like he wants to go longer).

Opening day maiden for juveniles always an exciting event. With only two with experience cappers must use workouts to evaluate potential talent and levels of fitness.

FOREST LORD certainly looks like a runner. After a quarter mile in Lexington chestnut son of Forest Camp moved up to a half mile three weeks later. Ronny got him and immediately put him in company out of the gate, then five panels before shipping north. Werner a terrific debut conditioner worked this one in company with undefeated stablemate and graded winner Run Away and Hide and "Lord" could not go with that one but came back with solid co-bullet Saturday, working much faster than useful sophomore stablemate The Darp.

From a breeding standpoint "Lord" is a stand out with two year old champions littering his immediate pedigree. Deputy Minister, Smart Angle, Seattle Slew and Rockhill Native are all in the first two generations with the latter three on the dams side. JR gets the call for Mr. Preston and not much to beat at least on paper.

Cognito had a solid debut and should go favored, although the money often shows, and scores in this type of heat. Nevertheless the rail no bargain especially this heavily cambered oval when the float is used yet this well bred gray from top dirt barn in the country may complete the perfecta. BBB

[ateamstupid]

I hear the 3 is a good one..

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by bellsbendboy

Opening day maiden for juveniles always an exciting event. With only two with experience cappers must use workouts to evaluate potential talent and levels of fitness.

FOREST LORD certainly looks like a runner. After a quarter mile in Lexington chestnut son of Forest Camp moved up to a half mile three weeks later. Ronny got him and immediately put him in company out of the gate, then five panels before shipping north. Werner a terrific debut conditioner worked this one in company with undefeated stablemate and graded winner Run Away and Hide and "Lord" could not go with that one but came back with solid co-bullet Saturday, working much faster than useful sophomore stablemate The Darp.

From a breeding standpoint "Lord" is a stand out with two year old champions littering his immediate pedigree. Deputy Minister, Smart Angle, Seattle Slew and Rockhill Native are all in the first two generations with the latter three on the dams side. JR gets the call for Mr. Preston and not much to beat at least on paper.

Cognito had a solid debut and should go favored, although the money often shows, and scores in this type of heat. Nevertheless the rail no bargain especially this heavily cambered oval when the float is used yet this well bred gray from top dirt barn in the country may complete the perfecta. BBB

*crinkle*

trash can