Fasig-Tipton July sale

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by sumitas

7/14/09
Date......Sold..Amount...Average.. N/Sold...Median

7/14/08 142 13,311,000 93,739 112 75,000

7/16/07
Date Sold Amount Average N/Sold Median

7/16/07 178 15,826,000 88,910 89 75,000
from the bloodhorse...
John Fort, the president of Peachtree Racing Stable....
“The market seems really down,” Fort said. “Just sitting around watching horses sell, I see a lot of $20,000, $30,000, $40,000 horses. I’ve always felt like if you could afford to own a racehorse, you should be immune to little glitches in the economy. People who are sort of on the edge of an economy that might be fluctuating up or down shouldn’t be putting their money in racehorses.”

Maybe Fort should organize a separate sale for decent pedigrees, that isn't watered down with all these $20,000 dollar pedigrees?

[sumitas]

Are you saying this is a pin hooking sale ? That there are not buyers looking to race their purchase ?

[Bobby Fischer]

the pedigrees that had caught my eye in catalogue and results:

hip SIRE/DAM price
BUYER

57 GRAND REWARD/QUIET MISS 60,000
C BALLINSWOOD SALES KENNETH L & SARAH K RAMSEY

71 LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ)/RUNAWAY ROYALTY 45,000
F TAYLOR MADE SALES AGENCY, SUNRISE STABLE SOUTH, AGENT
AGENT LXXX

127 ROCK HARD TEN/TO THE RAINBOW (FR) 50,000
C HOPEWELL FARM LLC AGENT V FOUR DIAMONDS PINHOOKING, AGT

136 GRAND REWARD/TURK MACHINE 95,000
C EQUUS FARM (JERRY CUMMINS/ TODD QUAST, AGENT
PAUL ADAMS), AGENT

236 SPEIGHTSTOWN/ENGLAND'S ROSE 170,000
F TAYLOR MADE SALES AGENCY, HARTLEY-DERENZO THOROUGHBREDS
AGET XCVII


339 STORMY ATLANTIC/MISS LUCY 52,000
C BRANDYWINE FARM, AGENT RANDY MILES BLOODSTOCK
FOR LIBERATION FARM ET AL 377 KAFWAIN/RIFFLE 70,000
C MILLENNIUM FARMS AGENT II GULF COAST FARM

390NOT SOLD


396 MACHO UNO/SNOW FLOWER 135,000
C CROWNING POINT FARM, AGENT MIKE RYAN, AGENT

397 - OUT -

513 GULCH/EVANGEL 30,000
F BILL REIGHTLER, AGENT JAMES J. SMITH, AGENT

[sumitas]

There were about 24 RNAs below $20k.
There were 55 RNAs between $20k and $50k, = 79 RNAs out of 112 total head not sold were under $50K.
There were 33 RNAs over $50k today of which 4 RNAs were over $100k; 1 Alfeet Alex, 1 Grand Reward, and 2 Roman Rulers.

edit...numbers may not be precise but they are darn close.

[ELA]

Originally Posted by sumitas

There were 28 RNAs over $50k today. There were about 23 RNAs below $20k. So there were 61 RNAs between $20k and $50k, or 79 RNAs out of 122 total head not sold were under $50K. 29 RNAs between $50 and $100k. There were 4 RNAs over $100k; 1 Alfeet Alex, 1 Grand Reward, and 2 Roman Rulers.

Thanks for the breakdown. 2/3's of your buybacks were under $50k, and another 25% between 50k and 100k. Just look at the marketplace. You have a hot horse, at the top of the market -- yes, the right people will be "on him" (or her). The low to middle market is hurting. This will spill over, or will be the spill over, to the remainder of the marketplace and industry.

Eric

[Cannon Shell]

There are plenty of people to buy those $40000 horses but not many sellers willing to let them go for that. I will never understand the logic that it is somehow the buyers fault that the sellers arent realistic with prices.

[sumitas]

Cannon I was just starting to wonder that myself. It seems to me there was money there for that middle market and lower middle market. The bids were made on all the horses. The sellers wanted more.

I can understand the dissapointment below $20k (about 23% of the RNAs) but over that seems like reasonable bids.

5 hips tied for lowest bid of $10k each. Each was an RNA.

[ELA]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

There are plenty of people to buy those $40000 horses but not many sellers willing to let them go for that. I will never understand the logic that it is somehow the buyers fault that the sellers arent realistic with prices.

That's the problem with the marketplace, vis a vis an inefficient market. Everyone would like to believe it's an efficient market, but far too many sellers turn deaf ears to the reality. There will be a major fallout, a market correction so to speak, and we'll see a cleansing of the market.

Unfortunately, like you said, there aren't sellers to accomodate that part of the market. All the sellers are looking to sell big money horses. There are only so many sellers and horses who can deliver the product that the top end buyers are looking for.

More importantly, in today's market -- today -- who new has come to the table to play the game at that level? Interesting observation. You see a Bob Lewis pass away, Sanan back off, a friction between Coolmore and Darley/Godolphin/et al, Melnyk back off, and so on. A new player comes along -- like Einsidler -- plays a bit and then backs off. Zayat comes along, plays in the big leagues, but not enough to make up for the losses. For the few truly hot horses -- there are just a few major players. The rest of the market is weak due to the sellers, the economics, etc.

Eric