Cougar Bay

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Linny

He might be worth a bet (I haven't looked over the race, so he might NOT be too) but I wouldn't touch him in the claim box.

The Manhattan field was pretty closely bunched so he couldn't have been that far from Dancing Forever that day. Offering him for this price is a red flag. If it was $75 or so, maybe but $35k is the bottom in NY.

The only part I disagree with is that he might be worth a bet. He is clearly a horse to avoid. Obviously if you play the Pick-4, and are using horses at decent prices in the other legs, you may want to protect with him, but this is specifically the kind of horse people should avoid at the windows ( especially given his likely short price ).

I recommend taking a look at Tagg's numbers first time for a tag. While I got burned by Stormy Kiss earlier at the Belmont meet, she demonstrated the next time that taking a short price in this situation is a mistake. Now, Tagg has many more horses than he used to, which does change things, but I would say this is a horse to run as far away from as possible financially.