A Very Hard Game...... 4th at Bel

[the_fat_man]

This is yet another way to get beat in the game: the perfect storm in terms of the trip. So, instead of asking whether the horse figured, you might want to approach it in terms of the trip it got.

1) sat a perfect inside trip behind a lone speed

2) incredibly PATIENT ride by a typically impatient jock --- the is the KEY--- Castellano doesn't ask this horse until the last possible second --- he goes after the speed but in hand, never asking the horse to move prematurely. what this does is effectively take the closers out of the race, as there is a minimum of moves --- the closers are thus left to do all the work; as such, Kapanga was best.

3) Kapanga not only lacks room and has to steady and go around horses early stretch, she also has to wait behind horses mid to late turn. These couple of seconds lost translate into a 2nd rather than a win.

In other words, take a field of horses, gave 60% or so (maybe higher) a perfect trip, and that horse can win.

And you thought the game involved skill? It does; it's jsut not about picking the best horse.