Big Time Pedigree (Half to Indian Blessing!)

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I honestly think predicting races will be key races is about as laughably a stupid concept as I have ever heard in racing.

Key races, by their very nature, can't be uncovered until horses run back. And, furthermore, a true key race is NOT ( necessarily ) one where two or more horses win their following starts.

But, hey, people should believe what they want to believe.

Supposed "key" races usually have a lot more to do with where the trainers spot the horses next out. I think these days, the only real edge is if you think a race is getting a speed figure that comes back lower than the horses are capable of running, for whatever reason.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by cmorioles

Supposed "key" races usually have a lot more to do with where the trainers spot the horses next out. I think these days, the only real edge is if you think a race is getting a speed figure that comes back lower than the horses are capable of running, for whatever reason.

Right, there are so many factors involved, and as usual, people oversimplify them, mostly because they're lazy, and miss out on what's really good ( while falling prey to what is bad ).