AP Sat. 6/14

[JJP]

I think Big Rushlet will bury Hobby's horse. In the May 2nd race, I gave a very weak pace figure for that race (74 pace 90 final number) and that benefitted Live from Appolo while Big Rushlet took the worst of it. Then Big Rushlet had a rail trip on May 23, a day you didn't want to be near the rail.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by miraja2

Tough (and not very good) Saturday card at AP today. I probably won't be playing much, but I do have an early pick-3 play of the day.

Race 1
Probable big favorite Live from Apollo towers over these in terms of last out speed figure, but Hobby's often don't run their best off a layoff. Many in here seem live, including the #2 who simply seems to have run better the three times when Graham is aboard.
3) Big Rushlet
2) Freedom Alert
5) Live From Apollo - won
6) Grande Couer
1) King A.J.
7) Priceless Bull

Race 2
This one was tough too. Mullins runner seems to have perked up with switch to poly. The #8 seems like he might appreciate the stretchout, but the barn's 0 for 24 Sprint/Route number is a bit concerning.
6) Its a Moon - 3rd
8) Premium Unleaded - 2nd

Race 3
3) I had a hard time finding a single in any of these races, but Jet A is my top pick of the day. I think he's ready to fire big. It might be a mistake to single against the Slomkowski switching back to the tires, but have to take a stand somewhere.
3) Jet A - Ran like he was pulling the starting gate around.


1,2,3,5,6,7 / 6,8 / 3

I actually had a halfway decent day thanks to (red board alert) hitting a nice exacta in the 7th, but my Pick-3 plays have certainly gone cold of late.

My Arlington Pick-3 Plays-of-the-Day
Played tickets: 7
Winning tickets: 3
Total Bet: $70
Total Won: $178.10

[miraja2]

brianwspencer,
I thought you did a good job on your analysis for races 4 & 6 today. They were both tough races to handicap, but I thought your work was pretty strong.
My one request would be for you to find a way to work in the "would need a bus ticket" line at some point in the meet.