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  #1  
Old 06-09-2008, 10:32 AM
ELA ELA is offline
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Already, absent of all facts, everyone has the fund pegged with all of the problems, conflicts of interest, and so on. Just look at the mindset around here. Come on.

This doesn't have to be "anything" that people say it is. Any trainer doesn't have to be "anything" just because someone said so -- has been, not, etc.

Eric
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  #2  
Old 06-09-2008, 10:46 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ELA
Already, absent of all facts, everyone has the fund pegged with all of the problems, conflicts of interest, and so on. Just look at the mindset around here. Come on.

This doesn't have to be "anything" that people say it is. Any trainer doesn't have to be "anything" just because someone said so -- has been, not, etc.

Eric
Just me not everyone... It's sort of like making a theme park with dinosaurs no matter how many things you think of in advance something is bound to go very wrong. It's a round peg trying to go in a square hole.. I am guessing professional folks are trying to bring honor to the sham of IEAH and still earn a fair buck. The people and effort aren't the issue it's the execution that will be the down fall.
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  #3  
Old 06-09-2008, 11:53 AM
-BT- -BT- is offline
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Lukas huh?
I have seen him with 1 maybe 2 stakes/handicap caliber horses over the last 12-18th months.... granted the man is a HOF i think he might be slipping a little. His big buyer Van Meter has been pumping a lot of money into his horses and i don't see many results/return for the money.
It will be interested to see if this venture works, but i don't why all the sudden people are trying to form some sort of "hedge fund" partnership for horse racing


and i think for the record IEAH shorted big brown

-bt-
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  #4  
Old 06-09-2008, 11:55 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by -BT-
Lukas huh?
I have seen him with 1 maybe 2 stakes/handicap caliber horses over the last 12-18th months.... granted the man is a HOF i think he might be slipping a little. His big buyer Van Meter has been pumping a lot of money into his horses and i don't see many results/return for the money.
It will be interested to see if this venture works, but i don't why all the sudden people are trying to form some sort of "hedge fund" partnership for horse racing


and i think for the record IEAH shorted big brown

-bt-
10 to 20 mil reasons why without any success needed
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  #5  
Old 06-09-2008, 12:13 PM
-BT- -BT- is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
10 to 20 mil reasons why without any success needed

just b/c a partnership has the term hedge fund in it doesn't automatically make it a money maker. They're gonna have to take the good with the bad and eat some horses they can't pinhhook or sell outright. I wonder hows all the major owners for these trainers feel about this?

-bt-
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  #6  
Old 06-09-2008, 12:29 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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I think that it is hard to believe that people with the kind of money needed to invest in something like this would actually do so. First of all it cant possibly show a profit because there simply isnt enough money available to win. Stud fees are in decline (which they need to be) and therefore the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is going to be smaller. Before you think about saying Big Brown, remember that the deal made his 'value' worth $50 million, the actual amount of cash that they got was far less than that. As a matter of fact his loss as well as some of the recent big money, early retirement studs not performing at high levels makes me think that the price of stallions outside of the ones Darley wants is going down.

The other factor that will be hard to understand is the ego factor. Not of the trainers but of the owners. If you put up $5 million bucks with an individual trainer the owner will not only be the main client for the trainer, he will get a lot of leeway and certainly some say in what goes on. With a fund like this although these guys will surely do everything possible to keep them happy, you are just another investor.

The key element to me of the whole IEAH deal was they were investing money in an equine hospital accross the street from Belmont. That can be a revenue generator right from the start and is a solid asset. If these guys start buying yearlings this year they cant possibly hope to make any signifigant money until 2011. Insurance, training bills, etc are going to be substanial especially when you consider that they will be acquiring stock in 2009 and 2010 that will be adding to expenses and not generating any revenue. Unless they come up with the next big thing, they will be really in deep.

The other factor is how do the state commissions deal with this? What if Lukas has a horse in the Derby for a seperate owner and Zito has a hedge fund horse. Isnt Lukas a part owner in Zito's horse because he is involved with the fund? What if the fund horse is undefeated and sheikh Mo said he will give them 100 million if he wins the derby? What a position that puts Lukas in, especially if he has the 2nd choice who happens to be a gelding.

Personally I think one of the negatives of this game is people coming into the sport expecting to make money. Sure everybody says that it is so hard but many of these guys have been very successful in business and believe that they are smarter than everybody else. If a fund like this fails, which I think it will, I just worry that the negative backlash will make it even harder to attract new investors especially in troubling economic times.
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  #7  
Old 06-09-2008, 01:42 PM
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asudevil asudevil is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I think that it is hard to believe that people with the kind of money needed to invest in something like this would actually do so. First of all it cant possibly show a profit because there simply isnt enough money available to win. Stud fees are in decline (which they need to be) and therefore the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is going to be smaller. Before you think about saying Big Brown, remember that the deal made his 'value' worth $50 million, the actual amount of cash that they got was far less than that. As a matter of fact his loss as well as some of the recent big money, early retirement studs not performing at high levels makes me think that the price of stallions outside of the ones Darley wants is going down.

The other factor that will be hard to understand is the ego factor. Not of the trainers but of the owners. If you put up $5 million bucks with an individual trainer the owner will not only be the main client for the trainer, he will get a lot of leeway and certainly some say in what goes on. With a fund like this although these guys will surely do everything possible to keep them happy, you are just another investor.

The key element to me of the whole IEAH deal was they were investing money in an equine hospital accross the street from Belmont. That can be a revenue generator right from the start and is a solid asset. If these guys start buying yearlings this year they cant possibly hope to make any signifigant money until 2011. Insurance, training bills, etc are going to be substanial especially when you consider that they will be acquiring stock in 2009 and 2010 that will be adding to expenses and not generating any revenue. Unless they come up with the next big thing, they will be really in deep.

The other factor is how do the state commissions deal with this? What if Lukas has a horse in the Derby for a seperate owner and Zito has a hedge fund horse. Isnt Lukas a part owner in Zito's horse because he is involved with the fund? What if the fund horse is undefeated and sheikh Mo said he will give them 100 million if he wins the derby? What a position that puts Lukas in, especially if he has the 2nd choice who happens to be a gelding.

Personally I think one of the negatives of this game is people coming into the sport expecting to make money. Sure everybody says that it is so hard but many of these guys have been very successful in business and believe that they are smarter than everybody else. If a fund like this fails, which I think it will, I just worry that the negative backlash will make it even harder to attract new investors especially in troubling economic times.
Perfectly stated.....couldn't agree more on every point!
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  #8  
Old 06-09-2008, 12:20 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by -BT-
Lukas huh?
I have seen him with 1 maybe 2 stakes/handicap caliber horses over the last 12-18th months.... granted the man is a HOF i think he might be slipping a little. His big buyer Van Meter has been pumping a lot of money into his horses and i don't see many results/return for the money.
It will be interested to see if this venture works, but i don't why all the sudden people are trying to form some sort of "hedge fund" partnership for horse racing


and i think for the record IEAH shorted big brown

-bt-
It is becuase it is a hot word, that is all. The word Hedge Fund elludes things like success/power/largeness, but all it really is, is a high level partnership
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  #9  
Old 06-09-2008, 02:34 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
It is becuase it is a hot word, that is all. The word Hedge Fund elludes things like success/power/largeness, but all it really is, is a high level partnership
Correct.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I think that it is hard to believe that people with the kind of money needed to invest in something like this would actually do so. First of all it cant possibly show a profit because there simply isnt enough money available to win. Stud fees are in decline (which they need to be) and therefore the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is going to be smaller. Before you think about saying Big Brown, remember that the deal made his 'value' worth $50 million, the actual amount of cash that they got was far less than that. As a matter of fact his loss as well as some of the recent big money, early retirement studs not performing at high levels makes me think that the price of stallions outside of the ones Darley wants is going down.

The other factor that will be hard to understand is the ego factor. Not of the trainers but of the owners. If you put up $5 million bucks with an individual trainer the owner will not only be the main client for the trainer, he will get a lot of leeway and certainly some say in what goes on. With a fund like this although these guys will surely do everything possible to keep them happy, you are just another investor.

The key element to me of the whole IEAH deal was they were investing money in an equine hospital accross the street from Belmont. That can be a revenue generator right from the start and is a solid asset. If these guys start buying yearlings this year they cant possibly hope to make any signifigant money until 2011. Insurance, training bills, etc are going to be substanial especially when you consider that they will be acquiring stock in 2009 and 2010 that will be adding to expenses and not generating any revenue. Unless they come up with the next big thing, they will be really in deep.

The other factor is how do the state commissions deal with this? What if Lukas has a horse in the Derby for a seperate owner and Zito has a hedge fund horse. Isnt Lukas a part owner in Zito's horse because he is involved with the fund? What if the fund horse is undefeated and sheikh Mo said he will give them 100 million if he wins the derby? What a position that puts Lukas in, especially if he has the 2nd choice who happens to be a gelding.

Personally I think one of the negatives of this game is people coming into the sport expecting to make money. Sure everybody says that it is so hard but many of these guys have been very successful in business and believe that they are smarter than everybody else. If a fund like this fails, which I think it will, I just worry that the negative backlash will make it even harder to attract new investors especially in troubling economic times.
I always knew you were smarter than you looked
VERY well stated.
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  #10  
Old 06-09-2008, 07:14 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Correct.



I always knew you were smarter than you looked
VERY well stated.
A frog is smarter than I look. Imagine my surprise when i read about this in the WSJ. I was even more surprised that someone else on the boards reads it.
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  #11  
Old 06-09-2008, 07:20 PM
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alphanumeric1 alphanumeric1 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
A frog is smarter than I look. Imagine my surprise when i read about this in the WSJ. I was even more surprised that someone else on the boards reads it.
Excuse me...The Wall Street Journal is just another Racing Form!
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