How is Guadalcanal 22-1??

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

I know it's initially nuts but there's some logic probably. He finished 2nd by a nose in a 1 1/2 mile race recently...certainly no G1 but it's not like this whole field is as tough as it could be. Nolan's Cat got 3rd which helped Catienus a bit for Mr. Ramsey so who knows. Might just be figuring they have a shot at 3rd.

He was 75/1 the last time he ran on dirt, and that was in a 48k MSW at Gulfstream. He ran 8th and received a 46 BSF.
The horse is bred for turf, so even if you could take something positive out of his last race going 12f, there is absolutely no reason to think it will transfer to dirt.

As far as I am concerned this horse should be 10,000/1.