My Bets for Belmont.......Please Help

[RollerDoc]

I promise not to start another thread for a while, but I wanted to share the bets I was planning to make for tomorrow. Please tell me why this is either a good selection of bets or bad and any basic mistakes that I am making while I can still correct it.

My budget is $300.00

My picks for now are:

$170.00 – Big Brown to Win

Exacta $20 Big Brown –Denis Of Cork

Trifecta $6 Big Brown – Denis Of Cork – Tale Of Ekati

Across The Board $8 Macho Again
Across The Board $6 Ichabod Crane
Across The Board $10 Casino Drive

Total 300.00

I'm sure I will get hazed pretty bad for doing this but go ahead and fire away. I honestly would appreciate the critique and what you might do different. FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick.

[santana]

Seriously.....any win bet on BIG Brown is not the brightest of ideas.
The horse will be 1/5 or even 1/9. So what can you possibly stand to make betting to win in this situation?

Load up on your exactas, and take a shot.......

If you are going to go to Belmont in person, i would bet a 2.00 ticket on BB and save it....

[IrishofNDMan]

The $170.00 to win on Big Brown, if he wins you make peanuts (well probably about $30) and if he somehow loses your out $170.00 obviously. Doesn't sound like a good bet to me but what do I know, I make plenty of stupid bets. Why not put $100 to win on Big Brown if you really want to bet him to win, and take the other $70 playing a $35 exacta Denis of Cork, Tale of Ekati with Big Brown. That's if you like DofC and ToE. I think Anak Nakal might love the distance and nab a piece as well.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

I promise not to start another thread for a while, but I wanted to share the bets I was planning to make for tomorrow. Please tell me why this is either a good selection of bets or bad and any basic mistakes that I am making while I can still correct it.

My budget is $300.00

My picks for now are:

$170.00 – Big Brown to Win

Exacta $20 Big Brown –Denis Of Cork

Trifecta $6 Big Brown – Denis Of Cork – Tale Of Ekati

Across The Board $8 Macho Again
Across The Board $6 Ichabod Crane
Across The Board $10 Casino Drive

Total 300.00

I'm sure I will get hazed pretty bad for doing this but go ahead and fire away. I honestly would appreciate the critique and what you might do different. FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick.

This is a really wasteful way to play. . .

[RollerDoc]

Well based on those responses, and as much as I hate to do it, I guess I won't bet Big Brown to Win. As Wyatt Earp said to Johnny Ringo in the movie Tombstone, "There's no money in it."

Maybe just Exactas and Trifectas? Is that a better strategy? I hate the fact that CD is somewhat injured and makes it hard to factor him.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

$170.00 – Big Brown to Win
FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick.

I wouldn't play it this way but for $144 you could do Big Brown / all / all.

If it were me I'd use him over Macho, Tale of Ekati and Anak over all or something like that, and single him in a Pick 3 or 4.

Anyway, best of luck.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

Maybe just Exactas and Trifectas? Is that a better strategy? I hate the fact that CD is somewhat injured and makes it hard to factor him.

Toss Casino Drive.

[Ronnie]

Bet a different race.

[IrishofNDMan]

Originally Posted by Ronnie

Bet a different race.

You could go that way as well and put $200 to win and $100 to place on Dancing Forever in the Manhattan. If I had $300 and was betting one race this is what I would do.

[hockey2315]

That's a pretty chaotic race and it's probably not on TV.

[stareagle]

With the question marks over Big Brown's quarter crack and Casino Drive's stone bruise, I'd suggest passing the race. Just enjoy the spectacle.

[IrishofNDMan]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

That's a pretty chaotic race and it's probably not on TV.

I would think it would surely be on tv.

[hockey2315]

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23024

Why would ABC or ESPN want to show a world-class G1 that many of their viewers will have bets on?

[IrishofNDMan]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23024

Why would ABC or ESPN want to show a world-class G1 that many of their viewers will have bets on?

Why didn't I think of that? If it was a 5k claimer from Buelah we might have a chance to see it live on tv........

[k9styl94]

Play the field 'to show' minus Big Brown.
That's the only way your going to make any $$$$$$

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan

You could go that way as well and put $200 to win and $100 to place on Dancing Forever in the Manhattan. If I had $300 and was betting one race this is what I would do.

you like him that much ? i think the race is to wide open to even bet that way. dam maybe i will be confident in your opinion and scale back in that race

[johnny pinwheel]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

I promise not to start another thread for a while, but I wanted to share the bets I was planning to make for tomorrow. Please tell me why this is either a good selection of bets or bad and any basic mistakes that I am making while I can still correct it.

My budget is $300.00

My picks for now are:

$170.00 – Big Brown to Win

Exacta $20 Big Brown –Denis Of Cork

Trifecta $6 Big Brown – Denis Of Cork – Tale Of Ekati

Across The Board $8 Macho Again
Across The Board $6 Ichabod Crane
Across The Board $10 Casino Drive

Total 300.00

I'm sure I will get hazed pretty bad for doing this but go ahead and fire away. I honestly would appreciate the critique and what you might do different. FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick.

you are crazy if you don't back that up a little. i think dennis of cork has a shot to win !

[SundayStar]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

I promise not to start another thread for a while, but I wanted to share the bets I was planning to make for tomorrow. Please tell me why this is either a good selection of bets or bad and any basic mistakes that I am making while I can still correct it.

My budget is $300.00

My picks for now are:

$170.00 – Big Brown to Win

Exacta $20 Big Brown –Denis Of Cork

Trifecta $6 Big Brown – Denis Of Cork – Tale Of Ekati

Across The Board $8 Macho Again
Across The Board $6 Ichabod Crane
Across The Board $10 Casino Drive

Total 300.00

I'm sure I will get hazed pretty bad for doing this but go ahead and fire away. I honestly would appreciate the critique and what you might do different. FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick.

roll with it roller doc

[pick4]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

I promise not to start another thread for a while, but I wanted to share the bets I was planning to make for tomorrow. Please tell me why this is either a good selection of bets or bad and any basic mistakes that I am making while I can still correct it.

My budget is $300.00

My picks for now are:

$170.00 – Big Brown to Win

Exacta $20 Big Brown –Denis Of Cork

Trifecta $6 Big Brown – Denis Of Cork – Tale Of Ekati

Across The Board $8 Macho Again
Across The Board $6 Ichabod Crane
Across The Board $10 Casino Drive

Total 300.00

I'm sure I will get hazed pretty bad for doing this but go ahead and fire away. I honestly would appreciate the critique and what you might do different. FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick.

$300 is nothing to sneeze at. Why do you propose making a wagers that you posted without having the courage of your convictions?

[Oaklawnfan]

Originally Posted by santana

If you are going to go to Belmont in person, i would bet a 2.00 ticket on BB and save it....

That is the best wager on Big Brown, I have seen yet!