6/7 (BEL): 140th Belmont Stakes

[munster705]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I strongly disagree.

Unless you are going to invest a lot of money, how are you getting any value payoffs with Big Brown on top?

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by munster705

Unless you are going to invest a lot of money, how are you getting any value payoffs with Big Brown on top?

If I play a Big Brown/Casino Drive/Icabad Crane straight triple for $40 and it comes in, I'll probably get back $700-$800. That's fine with me.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by munster705

Unless you are going to invest a lot of money, how are you getting any value payoffs with Big Brown on top?

Did you see what the Preakness tri paid? $300 something for $2. I hated Gayego in that race and played BB w/ Macho Again and KY Bear w/ ALL - only costed $20 for every $1. There's nothing wrong with conceding the race to Big Brown and playing against the second favorite underneath if he looks vulnerable and you're of the opinion that some big priced horses can run 2nd and/or 3rd.

I plan on using Big Brown and Denis of Cork in the PK4 which I think will pay pretty well even if BB wins.

I'll also play TRIs

Big Brown w/ DofC w/ Da'Tara, Anak Nakal, Macho Again, and Ready's Echo.

If I play them each for $25 I'm probably looking at $1500+.

I think you're better off trying to beat Casino Drive and embracing Big Brown. He'll be the bigger underlay in my opinion because everyone loves the Better Than Honour thing - but everyone keeps forgetting that the horse is completely unproven, only has two races, etc. The only horse that can beat Big Brown is Denis because if something takes out Big Brown (pace) it will also probably compromise Casino Drive and set up for a closer.