Better Sire

[Linny]

If the question is about who will have the first runner in the Derby then you need to look at who owns/trains alot of the colts by the 4 sires. Any sire that Todd Pletcher, for example buys is more likely to be represented in the Derby than a sire he doesn't buy.
I have not really read up on what trainers have shown interest in the offspring of the 4 stallions mentioned.

[blackthroatedwind]

There isn't much interest in Smarty Jones from what I hear.

[Linny]

Some little tiny part of me (my heart?) would like Smarty to be a good sire but he was not well received and that is rarely a good sign.
I remember hoping that Coronado's Quest would be a top sire. He had the pedigree and conformation etc. I asked a few trainers about the CQ's they had at 2, and they were all less than thrilled. Those trainers were all correct.

[The Bid]

They all stink, Ghostzapper is probably the only logical choice. The others will have to get very lucky to have a classic style horse.