5/10 (BEL): Peter Pan; Bold Ruler

[NTamm1215]

I'll need a lot more than the 5/2 you're probably going to get on Golden Spikes in order to get excited. His trip was so perfect in the Illinois Derby and he still had no punch whatsoever in the stretch. That was the third consecutive time he went the wrong way in the stretch and all three of those races happened to be at nine furlongs.

If you are going to try to beat the Japanese entry and Golden Spikes (which is advisable) the value will be there on everyone else and there are a couple who are interesting.

NT

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I'll need a lot more than the 5/2 you're probably going to get on Golden Spikes in order to get excited. His trip was so perfect in the Illinois Derby and he still had no punch whatsoever in the stretch. That was the third consecutive time he went the wrong way in the stretch and all three of those races happened to be at nine furlongs.

If you are going to try to beat the Japanese entry and Golden Spikes (which is advisable) the value will be there on everyone else and there are a couple who are interesting.

NT

To be fair - I think the Illinois Derby has been proven to be a toss-out. . . But I agree that there's some value in the race and it isn't from any of the foreigners or GS. . .

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

To be fair - I think the Illinois Derby has been proven to be a toss-out. . . But I agree that there's some value in the race and it isn't from any of the foreigners or GS. . .

I don't necessarily agree that the Ill Derby is a toss. Recapturetheglory ran a very strong race in the Illinois Derby, capitalizing on a great pace setup and he came back and ran a good race in the Derby. Z Humor ran like the one-paced plodder that he is in both the Ill and Ky Derbies. Denis was wide and well behind a slow pace at Hawthorne which is a death sentence.

It was a toss for D of C but a horse like Golden Spikes who could do no better than a distant second where he sputtered through the lane, I condsider it telling. If anything about it is a toss IMO it's GS's 95 Beyer.

NT