PREAKNESS: Field drops to 12 with Behind demuring

[tiggerv]

Harlem Rocker needs to run.

[ArlJim78]

if Harlem Rocker does not run, anybody want to guess the win odds for BB?
i'm guessing 1 to 5 maximum.

now that I see El Gato Malo in the field, I'll say 2-5.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

if Harlem Rocker does not run, anybody want to guess the win odds for BB?
i'm guessing 1 to 5 maximum.

Your being generous

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

if Harlem Rocker does not run, anybody want to guess the win odds for BB?
i'm guessing 1 to 5 maximum.

now that I see El Gato Malo in the field, I'll say 2-5.

You figure El Gato Malo is more likely than the others to roll in front of him?

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

You figure El Gato Malo is more likely than the others to roll in front of him?

well, on second thought, remembering how Colonel John faired in the derby, not really.

[blackthroatedwind]

Honestly, if Harlem Rocker doesn't run, this race is an absurd mismatch. I seriously can't remember as soft a bunch facing a Derby winner. Slew had a potential rival in Cormorant, Pleasant Colony had to deal with Bold Ego's speed, hell Golden Act ( second to Spectacular Bid ) was a monster relative to these. Barbaro had the potential talent of Sweetnorthernsaint ( forgetting about Bernardini ) and even Brother Derek....all of whom would be odds on against this bunch.

I guess if you line up numbers 21 through 30 of this year's KY Derby probables you don't rate to get a very swift bunch.

[Payson Dave]

Dutrow certainly toned down his rhetoric....he seems inordinately concerned with running BB back off 2 weeks rest...he (or perhaps Michelle) knows the horse better than anyone...I'd love to know how his feet are doing and whether the Churchill surface created any new/other issues.

[CSC]

Add me to the list of people who thinks highly of Harlem Rocker, according to Jennifer Morrison's blog Pletcher is rethinking the Plate Trial for the Preakness. It would add some much needed interest to otherwise a dull race as it stands at the moment.

HARLEM ROCKER is now rumoured to be more likely for the Preakness than the PLATE TRIAL.
Trainer Todd Pletcher had hinted to WOODBINE ENTERTAINMENT that the colt would come for the Plate Trial and then the Plate but with a 106 Beyer Figure last time and an undefeated record - he might match up well with BIG BROWN.

[justindew]

I remember the last time Kent rode the Derby winner in the Preakness and faced a fresh horse owned by Stronach.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

if Harlem Rocker does not run, anybody want to guess the win odds for BB?
i'm guessing 1 to 5 maximum.

now that I see El Gato Malo in the field, I'll say 2-5.

Somewhere between 1-5 and 2-5. Probably like .30-1 or so.