4/26 (HOL): Mervyn LeRoy (Gr. II)

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

Monzante ran out of his skin last time after dropping out of those lopsided Strub series races. He seemed to have a lot of potential when winning an allowance late last year over the Hollywood Park Cushion Track. Should be tough here with a repeat.

The rest look like bridesmaids and has-beens.

Certainly he is the horse to beat but a few things I consider is

1) I am going to be a against horses who seemed beaten at Santa Anita yet exploded late to win

2) The barn that this horse hails from tends to not repeat those explosive efforts next out, and the tend to go off form mysteriously at low odds

3) he will be way overbet based on 1 and 2 in my eyes.