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  #1  
Old 04-13-2008, 08:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
I gave the Blue Grass a little higher, a 95, with a pace figure of 104. The Arkansas Derby I came up with 94 and 114 pace figure.
I thought they went pretty quick early but no one except Z Fortune came running and Gayego had plenty left.

Who do you like better Cowboy Cal or Z Fortune? I like Z Fortune. I feel he was compromised by post position.
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Old 04-13-2008, 09:01 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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post position wasn't great, but i think z fortune had ample opportunity to pass gayego, and couldn't get it done.
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  #3  
Old 04-13-2008, 09:17 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
post position wasn't great, but i think z fortune had ample opportunity to pass gayego, and couldn't get it done.
And you still dont see that horses that train and run on Synthetics have more gas in the tank? I think this is the reason Pyro was at Keenland.

The first 4 finishers a Oaklawn were from synthetic tracks,,,
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Old 04-13-2008, 09:29 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV
And you still dont see that horses that train and run on Synthetics have more gas in the tank? I think this is the reason Pyro was at Keenland.

The first 4 finishers a Oaklawn were from synthetic tracks,,,
z fortune is from synthetic? since when? he's done his running all spring at fair grounds and oaklawn. my pal charlie last ran at fairgrounds.

and what about adriano? his one start on dirt he was up the track.

there are no hard and fast rules for this stuff. some horses can run on both, some can't. some can go poly to dirt but not many seem to be able to go from a good run on dirt to a good run back on poly-yankee bravo is a good example of that.
then there's tiago-hasn't won a whole bunch in cali has he? but then they put him on dirt, he wins a grade two.

i think pyro was at keeneland because z fortune needed the money, and a placing in a million dollar race gets him in the gate next month. pyro didn't need the money, and the bc classic later his year is on the awt. why not run him there, see what he can do?
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Old 04-13-2008, 09:35 AM
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Tentative Arkansas Derby Beyer a 103 for Gayego and 102 for Z Fortune...

Looks outta-whack high to me..
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  #6  
Old 04-13-2008, 09:41 AM
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Borel looked high to me
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Old 04-13-2008, 09:47 AM
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CJ,

Previous/Ark Derby.. Can't be..

Gayego: 91-103
Z Fortune: 82-102
Tres Borrachos: 83-94
Indian Sun 79-92
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  #8  
Old 04-14-2008, 10:45 AM
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I,VE PUT LESS IMPACT ON BEYERS, AND MORE BACK ON PLAIN SPEED FIGS,
THEY SEEM TO HAVE COME 180 degrees the last couple of years. the pace
has also change somewhat because of breeding in the horses. Slow to slow
fast to fast winners .
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Old 04-14-2008, 11:02 AM
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Default Let Me Clear It Up A Little About Pace Is Changing

Iv'e Notice Slightly In The Higher Grade Races A Slow Pace Seems To Benefit Closers Nowdays, And A Fast Pace Closers Can't Keep
Up With The Horses Who Are Carrying Their Speed Farther,contrary
To The Old Carve In Stone Laws Of Racing. Its Changing Very Slowly
Due To Breeding Have You Notice It?
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  #10  
Old 04-13-2008, 09:45 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Tentative Arkansas Derby Beyer a 103 for Gayego and 102 for Z Fortune...

Looks outta-whack high to me..
There is no way it was that high in my opinion. I think the track changed for the last three races.
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  #11  
Old 04-13-2008, 10:55 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Tentative Arkansas Derby Beyer a 103 for Gayego and 102 for Z Fortune...

Looks outta-whack high to me..
Note please that this is the tentative number... NOT the final. Final figure has not been issued...
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Old 04-13-2008, 09:46 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
z fortune is from synthetic? since when? he's done his running all spring at fair grounds and oaklawn. my pal charlie last ran at fairgrounds.

and what about adriano? his one start on dirt he was up the track.

there are no hard and fast rules for this stuff. some horses can run on both, some can't. some can go poly to dirt but not many seem to be able to go from a good run on dirt to a good run back on poly-yankee bravo is a good example of that.
then there's tiago-hasn't won a whole bunch in cali has he? but then they put him on dirt, he wins a grade two.

i think pyro was at keeneland because z fortune needed the money, and a placing in a million dollar race gets him in the gate next month. pyro didn't need the money, and the bc classic later his year is on the awt. why not run him there, see what he can do?
Mistake, 4 of the first 5 were from cushion track. There was no way Z Fortune was going to get by the winner.
There is something that is starting to become a rule and its "running and training on synthetics build more wind and put a better foundation in your race horse. That being said doesn't have anything to do with which surface they do thier best running on.
Pyro was on poly to make sure he doesnt get hurt and give him the benifits from training on poly prior to running in the Derby. Odds are Pyro hates running on the stuff.
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  #13  
Old 04-13-2008, 12:05 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV
Mistake, 4 of the first 5 were from cushion track. There was no way Z Fortune was going to get by the winner.
There is something that is starting to become a rule and its "running and training on synthetics build more wind and put a better foundation in your race horse. That being said doesn't have anything to do with which surface they do thier best running on.
Pyro was on poly to make sure he doesnt get hurt and give him the benifits from training on poly prior to running in the Derby. Odds are Pyro hates running on the stuff.

i don't see how a horse can get a good work from running on poly is he's uncomfortable. he'll run differently, and most likely not extend himself. hey, if it works for some, wonderful. but it's not for everyone, that's the point i'm trying to make-and running well on one won't necessarily translate to running on the other.
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  #14  
Old 04-13-2008, 12:19 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
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the better horses seem to run well over any surface. so i'm inclined to think Pyro was content to run with the pack yesterday in preparation for the KD.
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  #15  
Old 04-13-2008, 08:34 PM
bogeydaman bogeydaman is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
and what about adriano? his one start on dirt he was up the track.
Although it MAY be true in the long run I would not necessarily say Adriano's up the track finish was due to racing on dirt. He broke from post 12 at Gulfstream and NO ONE wins (let alone runs well) from out there. No one that is.......... but Big Brown.
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  #16  
Old 04-13-2008, 09:32 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bogeydaman
Although it MAY be true in the long run I would not necessarily say Adriano's up the track finish was due to racing on dirt. He broke from post 12 at Gulfstream and NO ONE wins (let alone runs well) from out there. No one that is.......... but Big Brown.
when you have a horse show such good form on turf and poly, and then a complete reversal on dirt, i don't know what other conclusion can be reached. of course one start doesn't make or break a horse....but i'll be looking elsewhere for a winner on may 3. his trainer even said he's more of a turf horse.
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  #17  
Old 04-14-2008, 07:10 AM
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It appears 103 is the official Beyer. I hope people believe it.
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  #18  
Old 04-16-2008, 08:37 PM
Benny Leger Benny Leger is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV
And you still dont see that horses that train and run on Synthetics have more gas in the tank? I think this is the reason Pyro was at Keenland.

The first 4 finishers a Oaklawn were from synthetic tracks,,,

I totally agree with your reasoning as to why Assmussen went to KEE with Pyro. IMO A "fitter" colt with fresher legs heading to the Derby was his goal ... But I seriously doubt Ass was happy with 10th. I believe it was 1957 since a horse ran worse than 5th in his last prep and came back to win the KD (according to Steve Haskin on "ATR" ) Adriano had a nice race on the poly in the Lanes End. Should be running in the last 3/8ths. Handling the nuttyness of Derby Day is a huge question. My choice unless EP rides and erases all value.
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  #19  
Old 04-13-2008, 09:26 AM
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Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
post position wasn't great, but i think z fortune had ample opportunity to pass gayego, and couldn't get it done.
Agree, Deb. He hung a bit IMO.
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