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  #1  
Old 04-08-2008, 01:41 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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I know Scavarino - I know.

But you did say "let's see how close I can get to the ML odds" ... even if you (or an ML maker) have a knock on a horse or don't like it's chances - the ML makers job is to assign horses odds based on what he believes they will close at.
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  #2  
Old 04-08-2008, 01:44 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I know Scavarino - I know.

But you did say "let's see how close I can get to the ML odds" ... even if you (or an ML maker) have a knock on a horse or don't like it's chances - the ML makers job is to assign horses odds based on what he believes they will close at.
Well, IN MY WORLD, I assign what they should close at

I'll be sure to clarify if I am speaking of Scav's world or real world.

Love the addition of 'arino', a good touch
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  #3  
Old 04-08-2008, 01:50 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav

Love the addition of 'arino', a good touch

Thanks man.

But I'd say it was a bit of a 'bounce' after my James Taylor lyrics tweaking epicocity.
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  #4  
Old 04-08-2008, 01:53 PM
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brockguy brockguy is offline
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surely 1000 words isnt good enough here?? why 9/2 scav
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  #5  
Old 04-08-2008, 02:03 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
The Curragh
 
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Scavs, what I want to know is what are the odds of Out of Control getting scratched? That horse will be way overbet just because of Frankel/Gomez. His ability doesn't match up with these and his style of running won't match Keeneland's turf course.

He should be 20/1, but I'm guessing he gets bet down to 6/1 or 7/1 if Frankel actually runs him.
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  #6  
Old 04-08-2008, 02:22 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44
Scavs, what I want to know is what are the odds of Out of Control getting scratched? That horse will be way overbet just because of Frankel/Gomez. His ability doesn't match up with these and his style of running won't match Keeneland's turf course.

He should be 20/1, but I'm guessing he gets bet down to 6/1 or 7/1 if Frankel actually runs him.
i agree, he has taken advantage of some short semi questionable fields out west....
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  #7  
Old 04-08-2008, 02:04 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brockguy
surely 1000 words isnt good enough here?? why 9/2 scav
because people love Frankel and the last was somewhat impressive....

Your the Euro corespondent, she would toss 1000 words?
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  #8  
Old 04-08-2008, 02:12 PM
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brockguy brockguy is offline
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1000 Words doesnt scream G1 horse to me, he never has, always came up short against a quality field.. he was a good 2year old but didnt really progress last year, in fact, his last few races in England were shocking..

Frankel does seem to be able to work the oracle on these types though..
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  #9  
Old 04-08-2008, 02:14 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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I was just perusing the nominations for this race and noticed Olympic Chief. How/why in the world is he not in this race?
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  #10  
Old 04-11-2008, 11:48 AM
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my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brockguy
1000 Words doesnt scream G1 horse to me, he never has, always came up short against a quality field.. he was a good 2year old but didnt really progress last year, in fact, his last few races in England were shocking..

Frankel does seem to be able to work the oracle on these types though..
He's disappointed me too may times.

Anyway he's scratched.

http://ww2.keeneland.com/racing/List...lItemsalt.aspx

Einstein / Shakis.
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  #11  
Old 04-08-2008, 09:23 PM
wac wac is offline
Aqueduct
 
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I hate to say it but the weather looks like its gonna awful all weekend here in the Bluegrass state. I wish it wasn't b/c this is a really good field and would love to be able to catch war monger back after that debacle in Calif. Just have to wait and see how things look on Friday.
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  #12  
Old 04-08-2008, 09:35 PM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
Fairgrounds
 
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If it is off the turf, who would scratch?
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  #13  
Old 04-08-2008, 01:49 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I know Scavarino - I know.

But you did say "let's see how close I can get to the ML odds" ... even if you (or an ML maker) have a knock on a horse or don't like it's chances - the ML makers job is to assign horses odds based on what he believes they will close at.
Is 8/1 realistic on War Monger, I have a little fun with him in this race if those odds can hold true, want to rewatch his last race at SA to see what happened there.
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