4/4-6 (KEE): Transylvanian/Ashland/Lafayette

[hockey2315]

I'd be careful with Prussian- he's coming off a long lay-off and this is clearly not the objective.

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I'd be careful with Prussian- he's coming off a long lay-off and this is clearly not the objective.

i do realize that, and its so hard for me because i have been beat with horses like this tons of times before, but i just cant get off.

say my pick 4 ticket is something like this 4*4*1*4, thats affordable, but if i go deeper the Prussian, who i think lays over this group" then what do i do ?

and if not prussian, then who ?

[NTamm1215]

Prussian will be terribly overbet thanks to his two powerful wins on the turf last year. He was able to get away with murder on the front end against a bad group at Saratoga then at Woodbine he benefited from a perfect trip on a baked course against vastly inferior foes. The main thing he has going for him is that there is not one iota of early speed beyond him. Is that enough to take 6/5, even in the Pick 4? That's the question that has to be answered.

NT

[hockey2315]

Personally I'll be playing Barrier Reef at 5-2+. I'm not crazy about them entering here but I think he may just be better than Prussian and I don't think Prussian will be 100%.

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Prussian will be terribly overbet thanks to his two powerful wins on the turf last year. He was able to get away with murder on the front end against a bad group at Saratoga then at Woodbine he benefited from a perfect trip on a baked course against vastly inferior foes. The main thing he has going for him is that there is not one iota of early speed beyond him. Is that enough to take 6/5, even in the Pick 4? That's the question that has to be answered.

NT

i am thinking yes, royal pedigree, top notch connections.
i dont know ? like you say only speed ? i dont know.