Tampa Wednesday 04-02-08

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

The 9 is my very very reluctant top choice.

He's an alright horse. Vic is a friend (was actually a partner in Wicked Sweet with me) and I've seen the horse on the backside - He's rather slight for a HH and is fairly crooked, but racing sound and has a lot of heart. I think he has very little trouble with this bunch stretching out. Especially since the best they could draw for the 2 was CD, tells me consensus among the colony is that it's a one horse race.
Of course with that said, Tiggerv's point of view is spot on

[tiggerv]

You are going to talk me into singling him RBE

He should stretch out with no problem and this group is pretty close to awful. My only problem is that he has run the same exact race 3 times in a row (which might be enough to beat this group) and I don't know anything about the new trainer. If he improves any then he should win easy.

[MISTERGEE]

any of you with tampa info have any stats on post position results in regard to two turn races on dirt? thanks

[tiggerv]

1 year profile

Dist - Cond - #Races - Inside 2 posts win % - Outside 2 posts win %
8.2 Dirt ft 61 11% 34%
8.2 Dirt wt 8 13% 63%
8.5 Dirt ft 83 13% 29%
8.5 Dirt wt 31 13% 39%

[tiggerv]

Dist - Cond - #Races - Impact Value - PP1 -PP2 -etc
8.2 Dirt ft 066 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.7
8.5 Dirt ft 083 0.8 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.0 1.2 1.7 0.6 1.3

[MISTERGEE]

thank you for this info, but just to make sure i am seeing straight. there is no disadvantage to the outside post even though it likes like a short run to the first turn? maybe even seems like advantage? sorry but just want to make sure i am reading right

[tiggerv]

Originally Posted by MISTERGEE

thank you for this info, but just to make sure i am seeing straight. there is no disadvantage to the outside post even though it likes like a short run to the first turn? maybe even seems like advantage? sorry but just want to make sure i am reading right

Yes, if anything it is a little tougher from the inside but it's not enough for me to consider in my handicapping.