Betting ????

[GPK]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

This was one of the races I talked about on Steve's radio show last Friday.

At the very end, Steve actually asked me for my "most likely winner" in the race as we were wrapping all 3 races up - and instead of answering his question, I ignored it and decided to tell how I felt was the right way to bet the race...and it was a good thing because the exacta paid $173.60 and the betting play I gave out paid almost 30/1.

Basically, King's Silver Son was just the 7th best horse on paper - he had a career lifetime top Beyer of just 80 and no buried form. However, he was a true hanging closer who was going to get the setup of a lifetime with Sacred Journey in the race. And, with He's Eze adding blinkers the stalker/mid-pack types get no breather.

I make the case that Sierra Sunset and Z Fortune are the likely winners of the race - but hopeless hanging longshot King's Silver Son will get a once-in-a-lifetime trip/setup.

As I said, there was only one way the race could be bet that I saw it - and that was by taking King's Silver Son and keying him 2nd in the exacta with the two likely winners (Sierra Sunset and Z Fortune) - and 3rd in the Tri behind those two.

A $2 exacta SS and ZF over KSS costs $4. A $1 tri SS and ZF over SS and ZF over KSS costs $2.

It's $6 per unit - and the exacta paid $173.60 - basically the same thing as hitting a 28/1 shot.

Drugs....I did the same thing in the Hillsborough on Sat. I loved Motions Lady Digby coming in 3rd off the layoff. I played a $10 exacta with her keyed underneath DOA and Lears, hoping that one of them would not take to the soft going. I was very happy with the $47.40 payout for $2. I think the will pays for the DOA/LP exacta combo was $4 and $7 respectively.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by GPK

Drugs....I did the same thing in the Hillsborough on Sat. I loved Motions Lady Digby coming in 3rd off the layoff. I played a $10 exacta with her keyed underneath DOA and Lears, hoping that one of them would not take to the soft going. I was very happy with the $47.40 payout for $2. I think the will pays for the DOA/LP exacta combo was $4 and $7 respectively.

Yeah, nice job and very good read.

You did say you liked Lady Digby though - the one thing that was very rare about how I bet the Rebel - is that it's like a once in a blue moon when I will focus my entire betting strategy around a horse who's form I did not like at all.