Why Does Beyer Get Dissed?

[randallscott35]

The game has passed him by. He didn't make adjustments for ground loss and his arrogance about disregarding sheet players makes him an easy target.

Originally Posted by randallscott35

The game has passed him by. He didn't make adjustments for ground loss and his arrogance about disregarding sheet players makes him an easy target.

I don't think its arrogance, I think if you are Hertz that there is no way you can praise Avis and if you are Coke you can't praise Pepsi.

The guy is very bright quite obviously. He is doing something that many others only wish they could do. He writes about racing and betting and makes money off it.

And he came up with a unique system for its time. A way to compare races coming from diff tracks, or from the same track under diff conditions. This was one of the first legitimate attempts with some sound reasoning to do this. And all of these publications still use "his" numbers...

The fact that he makes wrong picks is no different from anybody else. This game is extraordinarily difficult. Just cause the guy is bright does not mean he is expected to pick correctly in a game as random as this. I think it takes people who are intimately associated with A track and all that goes on with it to do the picking job. I dont think he does this anymore.

[JJP]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

The game has passed him by. He didn't make adjustments for ground loss and his arrogance about disregarding sheet players makes him an easy target.

The sheet makers don't take into account pace and bias (while using lesser factors such as weight and wind) so those numbers are far from perfect as well. Like T-Graph numbers for turf, but the dirt figs are not as reliable, IMO.