Saturday Stakes BSF's

[kentuckyrosesinmay]

Originally Posted by Payson Dave

Jessica, wouldn't you agree that actual finish times are much less significant than speed figures...??

I take both speed figures and final times with a grain of salt, but yes...usually. It depends on the situation. When horses run the mile in 138 and change, and come home in 150 and change, and only get a BSF of 86, 85 because pace of the race...well. I don't take final times really into consideration without taking the whole race into perspective.

El Gato Malo went from running a 99 to an 85, and ran just as good of a race in his last as in his first this year. I don't understand the logic.

Pyro ran a hell of a race in the Risen Star, and only got a 95 beating Visionaire soundly. Visionaire doesn't even switch leads, beats up on much less talented horses that he should have beat by a lot more, and gets a 98 next out. Don't understand the logic behind the numbers.

Don't get me wrong. Sometimes beyers are very useful, but I am careful with them. They are not useful to me in evaluating some of these 3yo races this year though.