Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-17-2008, 07:35 AM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: niskayuna
Posts: 1,861
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I am extremely familiar with the PP's of all 3. You didn't answer either question. I'll ask again, what about the way the FOY was run leads you to believe it was a key race? And why do you think it's a key race? I happen to like the top two finishers a lot. I could give you reasons why and show you examples of where I talked up each, BEFORE the races, a novel approach here. One of the reasons, for me at least isn't a shot in the dark that it might become a key race.
your so funny, you like both of the horses, you agree
but you still push and make comments towards me, instead of just being on my side about it, since you just said you like them both.

i could be way off, i am wrong a lot but as of now i wont have pyro or war pass on any bet derby day, i wont have any cali horse .... maybe colonel john, but no one else, and i will have many horse out of the fountain
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-17-2008, 08:51 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,936
Default

Topic boys.. stay on topic. It's a good discussion.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-17-2008, 08:56 AM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,278
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Topic boys.. stay on topic. It's a good discussion.
waiting for you to say..i liked em from the start.......
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-17-2008, 08:59 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

So can we replace "Needs more cowbell" with "Needs more Denis of Cork threads"? Too much? No?
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-17-2008, 09:15 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,936
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jcs11204
your so funny, you like both of the horses, you agree
but you still push and make comments towards me, instead of just being on my side about it, since you just said you like them both.

i could be way off, i am wrong a lot but as of now i wont have pyro or war pass on any bet derby day, i wont have any cali horse .... maybe colonel john, but no one else, and i will have many horse out of the fountain
You don't understand the question being asked.. When you out with a statement that "FOY will be a key race" you need to explain or at least understand what that means. What about the race will make it an event that will produce big return performances from the horses behind the principal runners (Cool Coal Man/Elysium Fields)?

You already had Anak Nakal come back from the Fountain and run like crap Saturday. What happens from the also-rans from the FOY is what produces a 'key' race. Court Vision, Z Humor, Golden Spikes, Halo Najib, Kentucky Bear, Adriano etc. need to come back with performances that enhance the reputation of the two finishers that separated themselves from the rest of that field. The question that needs specifics to be answered, is what is it about the Fountain of Youth that might make it a 'key' race.

If you can't answer with specifics, it's OK. You said you like the horses that will be running back from it to do well. You don't have a reason... you just do. You also don't appear anxious to learn the nuances of this type of discussion either.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-17-2008, 10:21 AM
SentToStud's Avatar
SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,065
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
You don't understand the question being asked.. When you out with a statement that "FOY will be a key race" you need to explain or at least understand what that means. What about the race will make it an event that will produce big return performances from the horses behind the principal runners (Cool Coal Man/Elysium Fields)?

You already had Anak Nakal come back from the Fountain and run like crap Saturday. What happens from the also-rans from the FOY is what produces a 'key' race. Court Vision, Z Humor, Golden Spikes, Halo Najib, Kentucky Bear, Adriano etc. need to come back with performances that enhance the reputation of the two finishers that separated themselves from the rest of that field. The question that needs specifics to be answered, is what is it about the Fountain of Youth that might make it a 'key' race.

If you can't answer with specifics, it's OK. You said you like the horses that will be running back from it to do well. You don't have a reason... you just do. You also don't appear anxious to learn the nuances of this type of discussion either.
Depending on how you define a key race, it may well already be one. In addition to waiting to see how the also rans do next, you can take a different approach and ask what the results and running tell you about those also rans with decent or better prior form.

Both the 3rd and 4th in that race had some level of 2 yo acomplishment, ran very well and had zero chance to win given how the pace shook out, how they were placed and the conditioning they gave away. I'm not nuts about Z Humor but he sure looked like a short horse in the stretch. On the other hand, I don't think Court Vision could have run any better.

Maybe Z Humor can't move forward but I could play him next out at the right price. Also, I'd be shocked if Court Vision does not run very well next out.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-17-2008, 10:25 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
Both the 3rd and 4th in that race had some level of 2 yo acomplishment, ran very well and had zero chance to win given how the pace shook out,
The pace was fast enough.

The originally posted fractions were way off.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-17-2008, 10:29 AM
SentToStud's Avatar
SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,065
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
The pace was fast enough.

The originally posted fractions were way off.
I know the changes. I don't think it matters at all. The two up front were empty and the top two finishers got sweet trips. Comparing what the 3rd/4th were left to do vs the top 2 finishers is how I look at the race.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-17-2008, 10:48 AM
SentToStud's Avatar
SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,065
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
How can it be a key race, when 1 horse has come out of it so far and he was up the track? Oh I get it, you and PG1985 are speculating it will be based on....what exactly? Good luck with Z Humor.
thanks. Good luck to you too.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-17-2008, 10:54 AM
SentToStud's Avatar
SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,065
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
As an aside, You already know I don't have Z Humor or CV as part of Future bet. I'm sure you're already aware and have that written down.

And like I noted, there are different ways to define a key race. You might want to write that down as well.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:52 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
How would I know who you have as future bets? Moreso, why would I care?

We disagree on what a key race is. You and PG1985 have one interpretation. I have another. It's cool.

There interpretation requires all patrons attending the track that day get a key with a paid admission.. Then they go to a car in the infield and attempt to start it... If the car starts they win!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-17-2008, 02:39 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,936
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
There interpretation requires all patrons attending the track that day get a key with a paid admission.. Then they go to a car in the infield and attempt to start it... If the car starts they win!!!!
Speaking of which... Did anyone see that they had a horseshoe toss yesterday at Santa Anita and one of the 5 patrons who got a single toss at a ringer hit it and won a $1,000,000?

Unbelievable...

I was at a Hartford Whalers game once when somebody hit the slap shot through the tiny cutout for $250,000 (or maybe more...).
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 03-17-2008, 07:56 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: niskayuna
Posts: 1,861
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
You don't understand the question being asked.. When you out with a statement that "FOY will be a key race" you need to explain or at least understand what that means. What about the race will make it an event that will produce big return performances from the horses behind the principal runners (Cool Coal Man/Elysium Fields)?

You already had Anak Nakal come back from the Fountain and run like crap Saturday. What happens from the also-rans from the FOY is what produces a 'key' race. Court Vision, Z Humor, Golden Spikes, Halo Najib, Kentucky Bear, Adriano etc. need to come back with performances that enhance the reputation of the two finishers that separated themselves from the rest of that field. The question that needs specifics to be answered, is what is it about the Fountain of Youth that might make it a 'key' race.

If you can't answer with specifics, it's OK. You said you like the horses that will be running back from it to do well. You don't have a reason... you just do. You also don't appear anxious to learn the nuances of this type of
discussion either.
you are correct, i am wrong... i should have said i like the top 3 a lot then gave my reassons why i like them, its not a key race. and yes i am anxious to learn and i will try to tone it down a little
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 03-17-2008, 10:18 AM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jcs11204
your so funny, you like both of the horses, you agree
but you still push and make comments towards me, instead of just being on my side about it, since you just said you like them both.

i could be way off, i am wrong a lot but as of now i wont have pyro or war pass on any bet derby day, i wont have any cali horse .... maybe colonel john, but no one else, and i will have many horse out of the fountain
He's trying to help you out by making you EXPLAIN why the FoY could be a key race. I don't think anyone has a problem with the statement, and I'd tend to agree with you since the top two are in the top 5 of my Derby list, if you further explain your rationale.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:01 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.