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  #1  
Old 03-16-2008, 03:20 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
More facts. Hmmm.
LMAO.

As for your awful rating of Stew Elliott, why don't you tell me how he's been the last year going long?

I'll save you time. 31% wins. Ave price $8.05 And you laugh at me thinking he's among the best after Ramon on the inner just cause someone who pats your back and knows a few things thinks so.

And it ain't all tanks he rides for Assmussen. His average Assman mount pays over $2.50. They certainly are not all tanks. Hardly.

Between this and your lack of elementary knowedge of the Inner maiden races, it's a wonder how you get by.

Like a great man would ask... credibility anyone?
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  #2  
Old 03-16-2008, 03:25 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
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In the case of the weakened War Pass we know somebody screwed up. Either Zito or La Penta or both. We also know for sure that horse racing continues to deceive the public by not disclosing health issues surrounding the entrants to a race.
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  #3  
Old 03-16-2008, 03:26 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sumitas
In the case of the weakened War Pass we know somebody screwed up. Either Zito or La Penta or both. We also know for sure that horse racing continues to screw the public by not disclosing health issues surrounding the entrants to a race.
Umm. . . how do we know that?
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  #4  
Old 03-16-2008, 03:29 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
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There are no required health reports on any entrant to any race. War Pass was not healthy or they just threw the race.
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  #5  
Old 03-16-2008, 03:37 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
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No I just mentioned it's one or the other. If War Pass was healthy then there is no explanation for his race other than the fix. Clearly War Pass was weakened. He was not himself prolly due to the fever.

After all, he was not in bad position, 3rd down the backstretch. So a healthy War Pass was not racing yesterday.
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  #6  
Old 03-16-2008, 04:36 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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As much as I'm enjoying this, it probably should stop.
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  #7  
Old 03-16-2008, 04:02 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Oh my god. That's a new one, they threw the race. WHy would they do that?
i have no idea, that's hilarious.

i could see someone saying zito didn't know what he was doing just based on having 1/4th of the field one year, and not hitting the board. but his career would show you differently, since he has won the derby in the past. i would imagine he knows what he's doing.
i can only imagine the scathing posts if it was dwl training war pass and this had happened.

somehow tho, i don't think bill mott, matz, shug, or any number of trainers would get the grief nick is getting had they been involved with this horse.
i also think zito is taking a lot of heat about this horse, because his run yesterday was so out of the norm for him. it can't have just been the horse, so what else could it be but the trainer? i also remember the amount of posts calling 'bullsh!t' when afleet alex had his lung infection and ran poorly. ooops...
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  #8  
Old 03-17-2008, 12:16 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
As for your awful rating of Stew Elliott, why don't you tell me how he's been the last year going long?

I'll save you time. 31% wins. Ave price $8.05
Over the last 12 months, at all racetracks, Stewart Elliott has ridden in 465 route races - won 72 of them for a 15.5% win percentage - and his $2 ROI on those 465 mounts is $1.49

Basically, from a sample size of almost 500 rides - he wins about once per ever 6.5 mounts - and his mounts have lost 25.5% on the betting dollar, which is well above the win takeout.

Those are pretty mediocre stats - unless you compare him with fellow PG 1985 top ten national jockey Mario Pino.

Pino is 73-for-407 (18%) in routes - and his $2 ROI is $1.24. Which means that his mounts in route races lose a staggering 38% on the betting dollar. More than double the win takeout.

However, because guys like Elliott and Pino won big races on excellent horses like Smarty Jones and Hard Spun - people tend to overrate them.

Jockeys are a very overrated factor anyhow.
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  #9  
Old 03-17-2008, 01:32 AM
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cmorioles cmorioles is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Over the last 12 months, at all racetracks, Stewart Elliott has ridden in 465 route races - won 72 of them for a 15.5% win percentage - and his $2 ROI on those 465 mounts is $1.49

Basically, from a sample size of almost 500 rides - he wins about once per ever 6.5 mounts - and his mounts have lost 25.5% on the betting dollar, which is well above the win takeout.

Those are pretty mediocre stats - unless you compare him with fellow PG 1985 top ten national jockey Mario Pino.

Pino is 73-for-407 (18%) in routes - and his $2 ROI is $1.24. Which means that his mounts in route races lose a staggering 38% on the betting dollar. More than double the win takeout.

However, because guys like Elliott and Pino won big races on excellent horses like Smarty Jones and Hard Spun - people tend to overrate them.

Jockeys are a very overrated factor anyhow.
I don't disagree with any of this. I do want to point out that though the win takeout is usually 17-18%, the average horse does not lose the track takeout. If you bet every horse, you'll lose about 25%. Just a little FYI for those that like to compare ROI to the takeout.
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  #10  
Old 03-17-2008, 06:17 AM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
I don't disagree with any of this. I do want to point out that though the win takeout is usually 17-18%, the average horse does not lose the track takeout. If you bet every horse, you'll lose about 25%. Just a little FYI for those that like to compare ROI to the takeout.
Well sure, but if you do that you also get to come on here and brag endlessly about how you bet the winner.
Based on what I have seen on here recently, I am starting to think that is really the whole point for many people.
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